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Spot Forecast for 189 Checkerman...Yukon Fire Dispatch
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
644 AM AKDT Thu Jun 20 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on June 20.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A thermal low pressure trough just north of the fire will move south over
the fire this afternoon, and then move further south of the
fire on Fri and Sat. The thermal trough will serve to focus instability
and convective showers, with the locus of convection shifting
southwest over the next several days. This trough will cause winds
to turn NE over the fire tonight, and remain northeast
Fri through the weekend.

Will see a drying and warming trend Fri into the weekend.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Scattered
                    showers and widely scattered thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 5 mph becoming north 5 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......North 5 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 4500 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....North around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and widely scattered thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then isolated thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 9 mph.
Inversion setup.....10 PM.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 12 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Northeast winds 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 6000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 18 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s.
Northeast winds around 8 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows around
50. Highs in the mid 70s. Northeast winds around 7 mph.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Yukon Fire Dispatch
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416414.1/AFG
.DELDT 06/20/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0