055
FNAK79 PAFG 200252
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 119 McDonald...Yukon Dispatch Center
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
652 PM AKDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1900 AKDT on June 19.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A thermal low pressure trough that has been poised
north of the fire today will move southward over the fire on
Thursday, then remain over the fire into Friday and move south of
the fire on the weekend. Thursday will be cooler and more humid,
then there will be warming and drying trend from Friday into the
weekend. Rain showers and isolated thunderstorms will continue
through this evening. Small hail and gusty winds may continue to
accompany thunderstorms this afternoon/evening. Thursday will see
isolated thunderstorms through the day with widely scattered
thunderstorms in the afternoon/evening. Friday will have just
isolated thunderstorms.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Areas of smoke.
                    Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................2.
Min temperature.....Around 53.
Max humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West winds at 5 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......5800 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 6 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    cloudy (85-95 percent). Areas of smoke through
                    the day. Areas of fog in the afternoon.
                    Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Numerous rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent.
LAL.................3.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming north 5 to 7 mph in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the morning. Gusty and
                    erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in
                    the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......North winds 7 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 4900 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 9 AM.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the night. Isolated thunderstorms in
                    the evening. Scattered rain showers through the
                    night. Isolated thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................42 percent.
LAL.................3.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms overnight.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds 8 to 11 mph.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around midnight.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Areas of smoke
                    through the day. Numerous rain showers through
                    the day. Isolated thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................46 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 74.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Variable winds 4 to 7 mph.
Mixing height.......600 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 9 AM.


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Areas of
smoke. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light
winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Areas of smoke in the evening. Isolated showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the
lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...CHAMBERS
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416117.11/AFG
.DELDT 06/19/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0