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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK
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525 FNAK79 PAFG 201439 FWSAFG Spot Forecast for Hermit 141...Alaska Fire Service National Weather Service Fairbanks AK 639 AM AKDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on June 20. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... A thermal low pressure trough over the fire will move south over the fire this afternoon, and then move further south of the fire on Fri and Sat. The thermal trough will serve to focus instability and convective showers, with the locus of convection shifting southwest over the next several days. This trough will cause winds to turn NE over the fire this afternoon, and remain northeast tonight and remain northeast through the weekend. Will see a drying and warming trend Fri into the weekend. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Isolated thunderstorms early in the morning. Isolated showers through the day. Widely scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................20 percent. LAL.................3. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........30 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 5 mph Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL increasing to 6400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph. Inversion burnoff...9 AM. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Widely scattered thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated thunderstorms overnight. CWR.................20 percent. LAL.................3. Min temperature.....Around 50. Max humidity........84 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 8 mph. Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL decreasing to 700 ft AGL in the overnight. Transport winds.....East around 13 mph. Inversion setup.....10 PM. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). CWR.................0 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 78. Min humidity........25 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 10 mph. Ridgetop wind.......Northeast 12 mph. Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East around 16 mph. Inversion burnoff...9 AM. .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SATURDAY... Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds around 8 mph. .SUNDAY... Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY... Mostly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northeast winds around 6 mph. $$ Forecaster...BRADER Requested by...Emmaly Gavin Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416243.7/AFG .DELDT 06/20/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0