036
FXUS64 KAMA 260516
AFDAMA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
1216 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 158 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

- Warm temperatures, dry conditions, and light winds continue to
  be the story for the forecast.

- Brief cool down dropping highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s with a
  cold front on Tuesday.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Thursday night)
Issued at 158 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Strong well amplified high pressure will continue over the Four
Corners and take a slight positive tilt this evening, before
broadening across the southwest CONUS by Friday. The overall story
of this setup is that we`ll remain in the 80s with winds 5-15 mph
out the south and dry through Thursday night. Given the recovery
from the previous cold front, and increased night time
radiational cooling, our overnight lows are now right around
normal in the lower to mid 50s.

Weber

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Tuesday)
Issued at 158 PM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

High pressure continues to dominate the extended. However, we do
have a weak frontal system that`s expected to clip the Panhandles
on Tuesday. Prior to that front it looks like carbon copy days
with highs in the 80s and lows in the 50s. Sunday into early next
week an upper level trough will move across the northern CONUS and
will only start to deepen and amplify after it crosses the
Rockies. The focus of the colder airmass will be over the Great
Lakes Region, but there will be enough of an airmass change to
clip the Panhandles and keep our highs in the mid 70s to mid 80s
on Tuesday. This system will rapidly exit mid next week and we`ll
once again be replaced by another area of high pressure leading to
temperature`s going back up.

Weber

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1214 AM CDT Thu Sep 26 2024

VFR conditions are forecast to continue over the next 24 hours.
Winds will mainly have a south component during this time frame
with sustained winds under 10 kts. Clear skies look to prevail
during this TAF cycle.

Muscha

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Amarillo TX                87  55  87  55 /   0   0   0   0
Beaver OK                  84  51  85  51 /   0   0   0   0
Boise City OK              85  52  85  52 /   0   0   0   0
Borger TX                  90  56  90  56 /   0   0   0   0
Boys Ranch TX              89  53  88  54 /   0   0   0   0
Canyon TX                  86  53  87  53 /   0   0   0   0
Clarendon TX               84  55  86  56 /   0   0   0   0
Dalhart TX                 85  51  85  52 /   0   0   0   0
Guymon OK                  85  49  85  51 /   0   0   0   0
Hereford TX                89  54  88  54 /   0   0   0   0
Lipscomb TX                84  52  85  54 /   0   0   0   0
Pampa TX                   85  54  86  55 /   0   0   0   0
Shamrock TX                84  54  87  56 /   0   0   0   0
Wellington TX              85  55  88  57 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.AMA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
OK...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...89
LONG TERM....89
AVIATION...05