292
FNUS53 KAPX 280747
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
347 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

...Rain returns this afternoon/evening...

.DISCUSSION...After precip-free weather through this morning, rain chances will
return to northern Michigan from west to east this afternoon and
evening. Light showers may arrive first before more steady,
widespread rain works in later in the afternoon and especially
tonight. South winds around 10-15 mph will gust to 20-30 mph at
times through this afternoon. Highs in the upper 60s and low 70s are
anticipated for most areas today. RH concerns are not expected
through this weekend.


MIZ016-017-021>023-099-282015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
347 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....67-72.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (445).
Mixing Height.......2300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.09 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Numerous showers until
                    2400, then showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (102).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.81 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 64-69 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........57-62 percent...except 71-76 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter...except 25 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (576).
Mixing Height.......2800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.30 in.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-282015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
347 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........45-50 percent.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (499).
Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered showers until
                    2400, then numerous showers and scattered
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........90-95 percent...except 80-85 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 percent wetter...except 16 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (79).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.32 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Numerous showers
                    and chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then
                    chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....78-83...except 67-72 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........58-63 percent.
   24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (730).
Mixing Height.......3700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.34 in.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-282015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
347 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (431).
Mixing Height.......2200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.16 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Isolated thunderstorms
                    until 2400. Numerous showers. Scattered
                    thunderstorms after 2400.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........93-98 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (93).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.17- 0.90 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80...except 63-68 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (612).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the west
                    around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.30 in.


$$

MIZ031>033-282015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
347 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........46-51 percent...except 64-69 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......24 percent wetter...except 12 percent wetter
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (492).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Scattered showers and
                    isolated thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....62-67.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 24 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (88).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.87 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers.
Max Temperature.....75-80.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent...except 70-75 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (698).
Mixing Height.......3600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph shifting to the west
                    around 18 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.11- 0.29 in.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-282015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
347 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Isolated rain
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....73-78.
   24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (590).
Mixing Height.......3100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South 12 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Scattered showers until
                    2400, then numerous showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....63-68.
   24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer.
Max Humidity........91-96 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
                    up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (81).
Mixing Height.......600 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.02- 0.39 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) until 1200, then partly
                    sunny (45-55 percent). Numerous showers until
                    1200. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........59-64 percent.
   24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (870).
Mixing Height.......4200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.34 in.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

DJC