Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
006 FNUS53 KAPX 271937 FWFAPX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan National Weather Service Gaylord MI 337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 ...Breezy South Winds and Rain Friday into Saturday... .DISCUSSION... High pressure overhead today will drift out Friday. Winds become southerly and strengthen to 10-15mph, gusting 15-25mph Friday. Lowest afternoon RHs 40-45 percent near Atlanta/Mio. Highs near 80 in south- flow downslope areas (e.g. Traverse City). Rain moves in during the afternoon/evening with embedded thunderstorms. Better chance of storms early Saturday into Saturday afternoon...particularly closer to Lake Huron ahead of a cold front. Additional showers behind the front Saturday...with winds turning west/northwest at 10-20mph (stronger winds in thunderstorms). MIZ016-017-021>023-099-280815- Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency Counties- 337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Min Temperature.....51-56. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 69-74 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......9 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the south after midnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (17). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph shifting to the south around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) until 1200, then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Max Temperature.....70-75. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 49-54 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 percent wetter...except 8 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (622). Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in . .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers until 2400, then showers likely. Min Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Fair (136). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.09- 0.28 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Showers likely until 1200Chance of showers after 1200. Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 70 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........58-63 percent...except 68-73 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......29 percent wetter...except 20 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (397). Mixing Height.......2500 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.15 in. $$ MIZ018-024-030-036-042-280815- Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac Counties...including Eastern Huron NF- 337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min Temperature.....50-55...except 57-62 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........78-83 percent...except 67-72 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (24). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 6 to 9 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer. Min Humidity........39-44 percent. 24 HR Trend......9 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph . Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (657). Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers after 2400. Min Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........91-96 percent...except 76-81 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (99). Mixing Height.......600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.05- 0.16 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers. Max Temperature.....78-83...except around 71 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......8 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........58-63 percent. 24 HR Trend......16 percent wetter...except 11 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (404). Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest 15 to 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.19 in. $$ MIZ020-025>027-280815- Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL- 337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min Temperature.....51-56...except 59-64 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........75-80 percent. 24 HR Trend......13 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (16). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Max Temperature.....72-77...except 64-69 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........42-47 percent...except 51-56 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......7 percent wetter...except 14 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (593). Mixing Height.......2700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.04 in . .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of showers until 2400Showers likely after 2400. Min Temperature.....64-69. 24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........93-98 percent...except 82-87 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter...except 22 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 24 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (120). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.12- 0.28 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms until 1200, then chance of showers. Max Temperature.....74-79...except 63-68 near the coast. 24 HR Trend......3 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........60-65 percent. 24 HR Trend......14 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (427). Mixing Height.......2600 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.12 in. $$ MIZ031>033-280815- Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the northern quarter of Manistee NF- 337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 2400, then mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Min Temperature.....51-56. 24 HR Trend......7 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........78-83 percent. 24 HR Trend......15 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the southeast after midnight. Gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (22). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........44-49 percent...except 61-66 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......12 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (660). Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers until 2400, then showers likely. Min Temperature.....63-68. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........94-99 percent. 24 HR Trend......19 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (107). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 18 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.10- 0.25 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of thunderstorms until 1200. Chance of showers. Max Temperature.....75-80. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........60-65 percent...except 69-74 percent along the coast. 24 HR Trend......11 percent wetter...except 3 percent wetter along the coast. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (486). Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl. Transport Winds.....West around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.07- 0.13 in. $$ MIZ028-029-034-035-041-280815- Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin Counties...including Western Huron NF- 337 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min Temperature.....50-55. 24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........76-81 percent. 24 HR Trend......13 percent drier. 20-Foot Winds.......North winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming light. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (25). Mixing Height.......400 ft agl. Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south around 9 mph after midnight. Pcpn Amount.........None. .FRIDAY... Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Max Temperature.....71-76. 24 HR Trend......2 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........39-44 percent. 24 HR Trend......8 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Excellent (683). Mixing Height.......3300 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South 15 to 21 mph. Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.01 in . .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers. Min Temperature.....62-67. 24 HR Trend......12 degrees warmer. Max Humidity........93-98 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph . Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Poor (96). Mixing Height.......700 ft agl. Transport Winds.....South around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.16 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent) until 1200, then mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of showers. Max Temperature.....78-83. 24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer. Min Humidity........58-63 percent. 24 HR Trend......17 percent wetter. 20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional gusts up to 20 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Vent Rate...........Good (547). Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl. Transport Winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Pcpn Amount......... 0.06- 0.12 in. $$ .EXTENDED... .SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. .TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. .INDEPENDENCE DAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH. $$ FEF