Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI
002
FNUS53 KAPX 251820
FWFAPX
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
220 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
...Precipitation-free to end the week...
.DISCUSSION...Increasing sunshine expected to continue to be the
rule this afternoon with a precipitation-free and mostly sunny day
expected on Thursday and again Friday. High temperatures both days
climbing into the 70s area-wide with generally light winds and
afternoon RHs bottoming out in the 40-50% range.
MIZ016-017-021>023-099-260815-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
220 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 56-61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (27).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except around 70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......14 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (360).
Mixing Height.......5100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....48-53...except 56-61 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........92-97 percent...except 81-86 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the south after
midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except around 71 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter...except 4 percent drier along
the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (322).
Mixing Height.......4300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....South around 3 mph shifting to the east around
6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ018-024-030-036-042-260815-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
220 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 55-60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 85-90 percent along the
coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph with occasional gusts
up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (35).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....73-78...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......18 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (341).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50...except 52-57 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (14).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East around 6 mph shifting to the southwest
around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....71-76...except 62-67 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......1 percent wetter.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
afternoon. Gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (341).
Mixing Height.......3800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 3 mph shifting to the east
around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ020-025>027-260815-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
220 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51...except around 60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (19).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79...except around 70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......11 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (298).
Mixing Height.......5000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southwest around 3 mph shifting to the
northwest around 6 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52...except 55-60 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (16).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southeast after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80...except around 70 near the coast.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (408).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Southeast around 3 mph shifting to the east
around 9 mph in the afternoon.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ031>033-260815-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
220 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....46-51.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......West winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
light.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (21).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......13 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (290).
Mixing Height.......5200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....West 3 to 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (17).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North around 6 mph shifting to the southeast
after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....75-80.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph in
the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (570).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
MIZ028-029-034-035-041-260815-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
220 PM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....45-50.
24 HR Trend......12 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (30).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....74-79.
24 HR Trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........41-46 percent.
24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
gusts up to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (373).
Mixing Height.......5700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Min Temperature.....47-52.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (12).
Mixing Height.......300 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northeast around 6 mph shifting to the
southeast around 3 mph after midnight.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
.FRIDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....72-77.
24 HR Trend......1 degree cooler.
Min Humidity........40-45 percent.
24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (539).
Mixing Height.......4800 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....East 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.
$$
.EXTENDED...
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...COOLER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
MJG