967
FNUS53 KAPX 230632
FWFAPX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for northern Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Gaylord MI
232 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

...Lingering chances of showers and storms today into this evening...

.Discussion...Wrap-around moisture from a departing surface low
center combined with an approaching upper level trough axis will
keep chances of showers and possibly a few thunderstorms in the
forecast today into this evening. High temperatures will warm into
the upper 60s to lower 70s this afternoon...with minimum relative
humidities dropping only into the 60 to 70 percent range.

MIZ016-017-021>023-099-232015-
Emmet...Cheboygan...Charlevoix...Antrim...Otsego and Montmorency
Counties-
232 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 1200, then chance of rain
                    showers.
Max Temperature.....69-74...except 60-65 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier...except 27 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (343).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.13 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400, then slight chance of rain showers.
Min Temperature.....51-56...except 58-63 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (43).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......11 degrees warmer...except 4 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........39-44 percent...except 52-57 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......30 percent drier...except 9 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (257).
Mixing Height.......4100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-232015-
Presque Isle...Alpena...Alcona...Iosco and Arenac
Counties...including Eastern Huron NF-
232 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers. Chance of thunderstorms after
                    1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......19 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (419).
Mixing Height.......2100 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount......... 0.01- 0.14 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2400, then
                    partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2400, then
                    slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Min Temperature.....53-58.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (62).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.10 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83...except around 71 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (322).
Mixing Height.......5400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-232015-
Leelanau...Benzie...Grand Traverse and Kalkaska
Counties...including the Sleeping Bear Dunes NL-
232 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73...except 61-66 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........61-66 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier...except 25 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (449).
Mixing Height.......2400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.03 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57...except 59-64 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent...except 82-87 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......2 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (40).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....77-82...except around 70 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......9 degrees warmer...except 3 degrees warmer near
                    the coast.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 5 percent drier along
                    the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (236).
Mixing Height.......4000 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ031>033-232015-
Manistee...Wexford and Missaukee Counties...Including the
northern quarter of Manistee NF-
232 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers.
Max Temperature.....68-73.
   24 HR Trend......4 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........63-68 percent.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Excellent (634).
Mixing Height.......3200 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.02 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 HR Trend......Unchanged.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusts up to 25 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (36).
Mixing Height.......400 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max Temperature.....76-81...except 69-74 near the coast.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer...except 4 degrees warmer
                    near the coast.
Min Humidity........43-48 percent...except 55-60 percent along the
                    coast.
   24 HR Trend......22 percent drier...except 10 percent drier
                    along the coast.
20-Foot Winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Fair (272).
Mixing Height.......4900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 9 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-232015-
Crawford...Oscoda...Roscommon...Ogemaw and Gladwin
Counties...including Western Huron NF-
232 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers after 1200.
Max Temperature.....70-75.
   24 HR Trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min Humidity........62-67 percent.
   24 HR Trend......20 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (595).
Mixing Height.......2900 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 15 to 18 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.06 in .

.TONIGHT...
Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms
                    until 2400.
Min Temperature.....52-57.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees cooler.
Max Humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 HR Trend......1 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph with occasional
                    gusts up to 20 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Poor (60).
Mixing Height.......500 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 12 to 15 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.05 in .

.MONDAY...
Sky/Weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max Temperature.....78-83.
   24 HR Trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min Humidity........38-43 percent.
   24 HR Trend......23 percent drier.
20-Foot Winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph .
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Vent Rate...........Good (385).
Mixing Height.......6700 ft agl.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 6 to 12 mph.
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.

$$

MLR