209
FXUS64 KBMX 191115
AFDBMX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Birmingham AL
615 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Thursday)
Issued at 357 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2024

Will continue to advertise dry and seasonably warm conditions
across central Alabama in the short term. Upper level ridge will
remain in place along the east coast through at least Thursday.
Easterly low level flow will actually help to keep Gulf moisture
cut off, with rain free conditions. There`s quite a bit of cirrus
along the western periphery of the ridge, which will filter the
sun a bit at times. That and a steady east wind during the day
will help to keep the heat from becoming too oppressive.

/61/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday night through Tuesday)
Issued at 357 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2024

The center of a 596 dam ridge at 500 mb will be centered over
Tennessee on Friday on its southwestward course from the Mid-
Atlantic states. The proximity of the ridge and high heights along
with a weakening of cooler easterly flow, should correspond with a
nudge upward in temperatures. Much of the area should see mid 90s
on Friday and Saturday with a couple of spots possibly reaching
the upper 90s. On Sunday the ridge should retreat westward and
amplify, resulting in the development of a trough over the eastern
CONUS. As this occurs, westerly low-level flow will promote
similar temperatures despite height falls.

As enhanced moisture arrives with southeasterly flow on Saturday
and remains in place on Sunday, isolated or scattered showers and
storms will return for areas mainly along and south of Interstate
20. Rain chances could continue to increase on Monday and Tuesday
as height falls continue across the region.

87/Grantham

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 611 AM CDT WED JUN 19 2024

VFR conditions to continue across central Alabama through the
forecast period. Lots of high level clouds, and probably some
cumulus development through the rest of the morning and afternoon.
No threat of rain or any other operational concerns.

/61/

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Rain-free conditions will persist through Friday as easterly
winds bring drier air to the region. Afternoon RH values should
range from 35 to 45 percent range each day through Friday.
Easterly 20 ft winds of 7 to 12 mph are expected today, and a
gradual decrease in speeds should follow into Thursday and Friday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Gadsden     89  67  92  66 /   0   0   0   0
Anniston    89  68  92  67 /   0   0   0   0
Birmingham  90  70  93  70 /   0   0   0   0
Tuscaloosa  90  71  92  70 /   0   0   0   0
Calera      91  70  93  69 /   0   0   0   0
Auburn      88  69  90  69 /   0   0   0   0
Montgomery  90  70  92  70 /   0   0   0   0
Troy        90  68  92  68 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.BMX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...02
LONG TERM....87
AVIATION.../61/