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Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO
149 FNUS75 KBOU 180944 FWSBOU Spot Forecast for Bear Creek Fire...USFS National Weather Service Denver/Boulder CO 344 AM MDT Tue Jun 18 2024 If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION...Mostly sunny until 0900 then partly cloudy, after 1500 mostly cloudy with a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Minimum humidity will be around 25 percent. Winds will be east at 6 to 12 mph until 1300, then northeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 0900, then partly cloudy (30-40 percent) until 1500, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms after 1200. CWR.................8 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. Max temperature.....Around 73. Min humidity........25 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 12 mph until 1300. Northeast 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 20 mph after 1500. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 1200. Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700, then 2600 ft AGL until 1100, then 6600 ft AGL until 1600, then 4000 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South around 8 mph until 0700, then 8 to 10 mph until 0900, then southeast 8 to 13 mph until 1100, then south 15 to 20 mph until 1400, then north until 1600, then east until 1700, then north. Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1100, then good until 1300, then very good until 1400, then good until 1700, then poor. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........15 24 20 35 32 28 38 40 42 57 68 65 Weather cov..... SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 3 3 3 3 3 3 Temp............52 53 55 59 63 67 70 72 73 73 71 69 RH..............43 44 45 40 36 33 29 27 25 25 27 30 20 FT wind dir..E E E E E E E E NE NE NE NE 20 FT wind spd..5 5 6 7 8 10 12 12 12 12 12 10 20 FT wind gust.6 6 7 9 12 13 15 16 18 21 18 16 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.0 1.6 2.4 2.9 4.5 6.4 6.9 6.6 5.9 4.1 2.8 Transp wind dir.S S SE SE S S SW SW N N E N Transp wind spd.8 7 7 8 12 16 17 18 17 18 20 15 Haines index....4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 6 10 17 29 63 96 111 99 94 69 37 SmokeDispersion.P P P P P G G VG G G G P .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2300, then partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of rain showers and thunderstorms until 2400. CWR.................6 percent. LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1. Min temperature.....Around 45. Max humidity........70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 12 mph until 2400, then variable up to 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms until 2400. Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL until 2000. Below 1000 FT AGL after 2200. Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 13 mph until 2200, then 8 to 9 mph until 2400, then north around 8 mph until 0200, then 8 to 9 mph until 0400, then light. Smoke dispersal.....Poor. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........72 69 68 67 61 50 48 33 35 34 41 41 Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CWR.............10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............65 62 59 56 54 52 51 50 49 48 46 45 RH..............35 36 40 45 48 54 56 58 61 63 68 70 20 FT wind dir..NE NE NE NE NE NE NE NE E E SE S 20 FT wind spd..9 8 7 6 5 5 3 2 2 2 2 3 20 FT wind gust.14 13 12 9 9 8 7 7 6 6 6 5 Mix hgt (kft)...2.9 2.5 1.3 1.3 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 Transp wind dir.NE NE NE NE NE NE N N N N NW W Transp wind spd.13 12 10 8 7 6 5 6 6 7 7 7 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..32 25 12 9 5 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 SmokeDispersion.P P P P P P P P P P P P .JUNETEENTH... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 0800, then mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of rain showers and thunderstorms after 1200. CWR.................2 percent increasing to 27 percent in the afternoon. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. Max temperature.....Around 70. Min humidity........43 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Variable up to 5 mph until 0700, then southeast 5 to 7 mph until 0900, then east 5 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after 1200. Mixing height.......Below 1000 FT AGL until 0700, then 5500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Light winds until 0700, then south 8 to 14 mph until 1400, then southeast 11 to 16 mph until 1700, then northeast around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then fair until 1200, then good until 1700, then fair. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........46 49 52 56 59 62 65 67 69 71 72 74 Weather cov..... CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CWR.............0 0 0 0 0 0 30 30 30 30 30 30 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 4 4 4 4 4 4 Temp............46 49 50 53 57 61 62 65 67 69 69 68 RH..............68 66 63 59 54 49 50 47 43 43 44 45 20 FT wind dir..S SE SE SE SE E E E E SE E E 20 FT wind spd..3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 20 FT wind gust.6 7 7 9 12 13 13 13 15 15 13 13 Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 1.5 2.3 3.2 3.9 4.6 5.3 5.7 6.2 6.7 5.2 3.8 Transp wind dir.SW SW S S S S S S S S SE NE Transp wind spd.7 8 10 12 13 13 14 14 13 13 14 15 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..4 11 20 32 42 52 63 67 70 73 63 50 SmokeDispersion.P P P P F F G G G G G F $$ Forecaster...RPK Requested by...David Waters Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416272.1/BOU .DELDT 06/18/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL David.waters@usda.gov