932
FXUS61 KBTV 172324
AFDBTV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Burlington VT
724 PM EDT Tue Sep 17 2024

.SYNOPSIS...
Dry weather will continue over the next week with no
significant chances for rainfall expected. Warmer than normal
temperatures will continue through Friday, and then temperatures
will trend back towards seasonal normals.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
As of 715 PM EDT Tuesday...No changes were needed with this
update. High clouds continue to drift over the region and will
likely persist this evening and overnight. There should be
breaks in the cloud cover, especially in northern areas, so
there should be at least some opportunities to see the partial
lunar eclipse a bit later this evening. Otherwise, the main
concern tonight/early Wednesday will be another round of dense
valley fog. Current expectations are that cloud cover will not
be extensive enough to preclude fog, but later shifts will need
to watch trends tonight. Lows tonight will be similar to the
past few nights, in the upper 40s to upper 50s. The forecast has
this all covered and remains in good shape. Have a good evening!

Previous discussion...Ridge of surface high pressure will
remain anchored over northern New York and Vermont through at
least Wednesday night. Dry weather and warmer than normal
temperatures will continue during this period. Fog development
is expected each overnight period, especially in the typically
fog prone spots. There`s some high cloud cover in place and
expected to remain overnight, but shouldn`t have too much of an
impact on our max and min temps.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 244 PM EDT Tuesday...Warm and dry weather will continue
for Thursday and Thursday night. A low pressure system will pass
off the southern New England coast during this timeframe, but
only anticipate some increase in cloud cover for our forecast
area. Rainfall associated with this low will remain south and
east of our region.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 244 PM EDT Tuesday...Really not much weather to talk
about in the extended portion of our forecast either. Currently
it looks like Friday will be the warmest of the period, with a
gradual trend back towards seasonal normal temperatures. Have a
slight chance for some showers on Friday as low pressure area
still continues to rotate off New England coast. Could see some
showers sneak northward into our area, but may just be an
increase in cloud cover as well. Surface and upper level ridging
are then expected over our area from Saturday through Monday
with dry weather and seasonable temperatures. Models are hinting
at next chance for precipitation in our region towards the
early part of next week as a surface and upper level trough
approach from the west on Tuesday. Being so far out in the
forecast, only have slight chance pops for now, but will
continue to monitor potential for a soaking rain towards the
middle of next week.

&&

.AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Through 00Z Thursday...VFR to prevail much of the period, with
IFR/LIFR expected in another round of valley fog at favored
sites roughly 06z-12z. Best chances for fog will be at
KSLK/KMPV/KMSS, where visibility below 1sm and ceilings AOB 500
ft are expected. KEFK should remain MVFR in fog, though brief
IFR cannot be completely ruled out. Otherwise, just FEW-SCT high
clouds expected through the TAF period, along with light and
variable winds.

Outlook...

Wednesday Night: VFR. Patchy BR.
Thursday: VFR. Patchy BR.
Thursday Night: VFR. Patchy BR.
Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA.
Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX.
Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX.
Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX.

&&

.BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
VT...None.
NY...None.

&&

$$
SYNOPSIS...Neiles
NEAR TERM...Hastings/Neiles
SHORT TERM...Neiles
LONG TERM...Neiles
AVIATION...Hastings