Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT
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932 FXUS61 KBTV 172324 AFDBTV Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 724 PM EDT Tue Sep 17 2024 .SYNOPSIS... Dry weather will continue over the next week with no significant chances for rainfall expected. Warmer than normal temperatures will continue through Friday, and then temperatures will trend back towards seasonal normals. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/... As of 715 PM EDT Tuesday...No changes were needed with this update. High clouds continue to drift over the region and will likely persist this evening and overnight. There should be breaks in the cloud cover, especially in northern areas, so there should be at least some opportunities to see the partial lunar eclipse a bit later this evening. Otherwise, the main concern tonight/early Wednesday will be another round of dense valley fog. Current expectations are that cloud cover will not be extensive enough to preclude fog, but later shifts will need to watch trends tonight. Lows tonight will be similar to the past few nights, in the upper 40s to upper 50s. The forecast has this all covered and remains in good shape. Have a good evening! Previous discussion...Ridge of surface high pressure will remain anchored over northern New York and Vermont through at least Wednesday night. Dry weather and warmer than normal temperatures will continue during this period. Fog development is expected each overnight period, especially in the typically fog prone spots. There`s some high cloud cover in place and expected to remain overnight, but shouldn`t have too much of an impact on our max and min temps. && .SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/... As of 244 PM EDT Tuesday...Warm and dry weather will continue for Thursday and Thursday night. A low pressure system will pass off the southern New England coast during this timeframe, but only anticipate some increase in cloud cover for our forecast area. Rainfall associated with this low will remain south and east of our region. && .LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... As of 244 PM EDT Tuesday...Really not much weather to talk about in the extended portion of our forecast either. Currently it looks like Friday will be the warmest of the period, with a gradual trend back towards seasonal normal temperatures. Have a slight chance for some showers on Friday as low pressure area still continues to rotate off New England coast. Could see some showers sneak northward into our area, but may just be an increase in cloud cover as well. Surface and upper level ridging are then expected over our area from Saturday through Monday with dry weather and seasonable temperatures. Models are hinting at next chance for precipitation in our region towards the early part of next week as a surface and upper level trough approach from the west on Tuesday. Being so far out in the forecast, only have slight chance pops for now, but will continue to monitor potential for a soaking rain towards the middle of next week. && .AVIATION /23Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... Through 00Z Thursday...VFR to prevail much of the period, with IFR/LIFR expected in another round of valley fog at favored sites roughly 06z-12z. Best chances for fog will be at KSLK/KMPV/KMSS, where visibility below 1sm and ceilings AOB 500 ft are expected. KEFK should remain MVFR in fog, though brief IFR cannot be completely ruled out. Otherwise, just FEW-SCT high clouds expected through the TAF period, along with light and variable winds. Outlook... Wednesday Night: VFR. Patchy BR. Thursday: VFR. Patchy BR. Thursday Night: VFR. Patchy BR. Friday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Friday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Sunday: VFR. NO SIG WX. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Neiles NEAR TERM...Hastings/Neiles SHORT TERM...Neiles LONG TERM...Neiles AVIATION...Hastings