Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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154
FNUS51 KBUF 212034
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
433 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.DISCUSSION...
While it will still be uncomfortably warm and humid through this
weekend, a frontal boundary oscillating back and forth over our
region will support enough cloud cover and some thunderstorm
activity to suppress the dangerously high heat indices.
Unfortunately, the daily thunderstorms will carry the risk of
torrential downpours and even severe weather. Notably cooler and
more comfortable conditions can then be expected next week,
especially during the latter half.

NYZ201-220800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
433 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           40           50           70
Precip type                      None        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       66           88           67           82
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                      S  9
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var        SW 12
Precip amount                    0.00         0.15         0.18         0.29
Precip duration                                  2            2            6
Precip begin                                  7 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                              Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           55          100           57
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 3            4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        6080                      5200
Transport wind (kt)              N  6         W 10        SE  6        SW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        60800            0       145600
Dispersion Index                    0           61            0          146
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-220800-
Southern Tier-
433 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

                              Tonight          Sat    Sat Night          Sun
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                     30           30           40           70
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       66           89           68           83
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                     SW 11
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         W  7      Lgt/Var        SW 13
Precip amount                    0.08         0.06         0.10         0.25
Precip duration                     1            2            2            6
Precip begin                     6 PM        12 PM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                       9 PM   Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           45           93           51
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        8220                      6610
Transport wind (kt)             NW  5         W 16        SW  8        SW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0       131520            0       198300
Dispersion Index                    0          132            0          198
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 60s.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 70s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs around 80.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid
70s.

WIND SUNDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...South 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$