210
FNUS51 KBUF 210234
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1033 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.DISCUSSION...
While it will still be uncomfortably warm and humid through this
weekend...a frontal boundary oscillating back and forth over our
region will support enough cloud cover and thunderstorm activity to
suppress the dangerously high heat indices. Unfortunately...the
daily thunderstorms will carry the risk of torrential downpours and
even severe weather. Notably cooler and more comfortable conditions
can then be expected next week...especially during the latter half.

NYZ201-210800-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1033 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip chc (%)                      0           40           30           50
Precip type                      None        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       67           85           64           86
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var         N  5      Lgt/Var         W  5
Precip amount                    0.00         0.06         0.01         0.13
Precip duration                                  2            1            2
Precip begin                                  6 AM   Continuing         8 AM
Precip end                              Continuing         8 PM   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           57          100           52
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        4890                      5100
Transport wind (kt)             NW  6        NW  6        NE  7         W 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        29340            0        76500
Dispersion Index                    0           29            0           76
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-210800-
Southern Tier-
1033 PM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat
Cloud cover                     Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip chc (%)                     40           60           40           40
Precip type                     Tstms        Tstms        Tstms        Tstms
Min/Max Temp                       67           87           66           88
AM Wind (mph)                              Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var        NW  5      Lgt/Var         W  7
Precip amount                    0.08         0.19         0.06         0.06
Precip duration                     1            4            1            2
Precip begin                     6 PM         7 AM   Continuing         8 AM
Precip end                      10 PM   Continuing         9 PM   Continuing
Max/Min Humidity (%)              100           56          100           43
Haines Index                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 5            5            4            4
Mixing height (ft-AGL)                        5460                      7740
Transport wind (kt)             NW  4        NW  7        NW  5         W 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        38220            0       123840
Dispersion Index                    0           38            0          124
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 80s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the lower 70s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 80.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Not as warm. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs around 70.

WIND SATURDAY NIGHT...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...South around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...South 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$