Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH
Versions:
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
32
33
34
35
36
37
38
39
40
41
42
43
44
45
46
47
48
49
50
770 FXUS61 KCLE 180551 AFDCLE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 151 AM EDT Wed Sep 18 2024 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will remain in control through the weekend as remnant low pressure moves along the Atlantic coast through Thursday. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/... 12:30 AM Update... The forecast remains on track overnight. Just tweaked hourly temps, dew points, and winds based on current observations. 930 PM EDT Update... The forecast remains on track and no changes were needed with this update. High clouds will persist across the area into Wednesday with tonight`s lows falling into the upper 50s to lower 60s. Previous Discussion... High pressure remains in control despite the remnant low pressure moving along the Atlantic coast. Some mid to high level clouds on the outer edges of the low will continue to move overhead through this evening and into Wednesday. Kept much of the forecast dry through the near term period with some slight chance PoPs across southeast zones Wednesday morning and early afternoon. Overnight lows tonight will dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s as much of the area will see overcast skies. Afternoon highs on Wednesday will remain above normal as they rise into the mid 70s across the eastern half of the forecast area and low/mid 80s across the western half of the area. Overnight lows Wednesday night will once again dip into the upper 50s to lower 60s. Dew points each evening will range between the upper 50s to lower 60s which could allow for patchy fog to develop tonight and Wednesday night. && .SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/... High pressure will be the main player for the short term leading to sunny, dry, and above average temperatures. A low pressure system will be moving up the East Coast but will not be able to overcome the high pressure over the region and stay to the east. Western portion of the CWA will be clear through the period as the eastern portion clears out Thursday afternoon/evening. Expect the drought conditions to continue with an expansion in the coming days. As mentioned, temperatures should remain above average for the period with highs in the mid to upper 80s and lows in the upper 50s. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Similar story for the long term as high pressure continues to dominate the region for the beginning portion of the period. The next chance for precipitation will be Sunday night into Monday as a cold front moves northeast across the region. PoP chances are trending upwards for Monday and Tuesday but have capped them off at a low chance for Monday afternoon due to the models timing and duration being unclear on those criteria. Temperatures will continue to be above average with highs in the 80s and lows in the 50s. && .AVIATION /06Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/... VFR should prevail through the TAF cycle as the remnants of the subtropical low stay to the southeast. This will just lead to a scattered to broken cloud deck between 5 and 10 thousand feet at times today and tonight, especially in the eastern half of the area affecting KCLE, KCAK, KYNG, and KERI. There could be some mist or fog at KMFD, KCAK, and KYNG late tonight (early Thursday morning), but confidence is low at this point. Light E to SE winds early this morning will become E to NE at 5-10 knots this afternoon, especially near the lakeshore at KTOL, KCLE, and KERI as the lake breeze quickly pushes through. Outlook...Primarily VFR expected through Sunday. Non-VFR possible in showers as early as Sunday night. && .MARINE... Winds will be 10-15 kts out of the northeast through the rest of the evening and then shift out of the east-southeast overnight before returning to the northeast with the lake breeze setting up Wednesday afternoon. Starting Thursday, winds will be light out of the northeast at 5-10 kts through the weekend. Waves will stay below headline criteria at 1 to 2 feet, with spots potentially seeing up to 3 feet during higher afternoon winds. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Iverson NEAR TERM...Garuckas/Iverson/Maines SHORT TERM...Kennedy LONG TERM...Kennedy AVIATION...Garuckas MARINE...Kennedy