Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
123 FNUS28 KWNS 162150 FWDD38 Day 3-8 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0448 PM CDT Sun Jun 16 2024 Valid 181200Z - 241200Z A broad longwave trough will be present through the first part of the extended period over the western CONUS. Residual stronger flow from a departing shortwave trough may result in some dry, breezy conditions with receptive fuels across parts of New Mexico and far southeast Colorado on Day 3 (Tuesday), and 40% Critical highlights have been maintained in this area. By Day 4 (Wednesday), a plume of tropical moisture is expected to begin advecting northwestward into the southern Rockies, which may provide a reprieve from fire weather concerns in this area due to precipitation and high RH. Farther west across portions of Arizona, Utah, and Nevada, some stronger flow aloft may result in some dry, breezy conditions on Days 4 and 5 (Wednesday and Thursday), though confidence is too low to highlight individual areas at the moment. By the end of the period, ridging develops over the southwestern CONUS, confining strongest mid-level flow to the northwestern CONUS. Some Elevated or Critical fire risk is possible in this region, though again, confidence is too low to highlight individual areas at this time. ..Supinie.. 06/16/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$