Routine Space Environment Product (Daily)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
293 FXXX01 KWNP 152201 DAYDSF :Product: Daily Space Weather Summary and Forcast daydsf.txt :Issued: 2024 Sep 15 2200 UTC # Prepared by the US Dept. of Commerce, NOAA, Space Weather Prediction Center # Product description and SWPC contact on the Web # http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/wwire.html # # Daily Space Weather Summary and Forecast. # :Solar_Analysis: Analysis of Solar Active Regions and Activity from 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C4 event observed at 15/1528Z from Region 3824 (S04W26). There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk. # :Solar_Forecast: Solar Activity Forecast: Solar activity is likely to be moderate with a slight chance for an X-class flare on day one (16 Sep) and expected to be low with a chance for M-class flares and a slight chance for an X-class flare on days two and three (17 Sep, 18 Sep). # :Geophysical_Activity: Geophysical Activity Summary 14/2100Z to 15/2100Z: The geomagnetic field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 523 km/s at 15/0323Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at 14/2125Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 15/1548Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 6 pfu at 15/1455Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1692 pfu. # :Geophysical_Forecast: Geophysical Activity Forecast: The geomagnetic field is expected to be at unsettled to severe storm levels on day one (16 Sep), quiet to major storm levels on day two (17 Sep) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (18 Sep). Protons have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day one (16 Sep), have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day two (17 Sep) and have a slight chance of crossing threshold on day three (18 Sep).