274
FNUS53 KDTX 211913
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
313 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.DISCUSSION...Hot and humid weather persists over most of Southeast
Michigan through Saturday with minimum RHs in the 50 to 60 percent
range. Showers and storms possible north of I-69 Saturday with areas
to the south likely staying dry. A line of additional showers and
storms moves through Saturday night into Sunday morning in advance
of an approaching cold front.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-212115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
313 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast around 5 mph becoming southeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......840-1040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms until 11 am. Chance of showers.
                    Chance of thunderstorms after 11 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....84-88.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........50-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3200-3700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (811).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers until
                    11 pm. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely
                    after 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (32).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....72-78.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3880-4380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (964).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-212115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
313 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southeast 5 to 10 mph becoming south after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming south in the late
                    evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Showers likely after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 60 percent.
Max temperature.....84-90.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........51-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3310-3810 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (745).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Thunderstorms likely
                    until 2 am. Showers likely. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....66-70.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........91-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......900-1100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (23).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....74-79.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........66-76 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 15 to 20 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2900-3400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (814).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-212115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
313 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....68-72.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South 5 to 10 mph becoming around 5 mph after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph becoming southwest after
                    midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Max temperature.....88-94.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6430-6930 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1344).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 11 pm until 2 am. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 pm. Showers likely after
                    2 am. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....70-74.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........86-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......550-750 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....80-84.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......25 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......West 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3740-4240 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 25 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (902).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the upper 80s. South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper
70s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.

$$

KDK