Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI
332 FNUS53 KDTX 250815 FWFDTX Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 415 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024 .DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms sweep through Lower Michigan this morning preceding a return of warmer and more humid air this afternoon into Wednesday. Thunderstorms remain active tonight but closer to the Ohio border and then all areas have a chance of showers and thunderstorms early Wednesday until the next cold front sweeps through the region. High pressure and dry weather build in for the late week period. MIZ047-048-053-060-061-252115- Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee- Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint 415 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024 .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 8 am, then showers with thunderstorms likely until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 100 percent. Max temperature.....80-86. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Min humidity........59-69 percent. 24 hr trend......23 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3070-3570 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph becoming west 20 to 25 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (689). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms until 2 am. Slight chance of showers until 5 am, then chance of showers. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....60-66. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........88-98 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....72-78. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Min humidity........51-61 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3020-3520 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph becoming north early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Good (479). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ049-054-055-062-252115- Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer- Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer 415 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024 .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 8 am, then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers and slight chance of thunderstorms until 8 am, then showers and chance of thunderstorms until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 100 percent. Max temperature.....80-85. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........63-73 percent. 24 hr trend......24 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2410-2910 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 20 to 25 mph becoming southwest 25 to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (643). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) until 2 am, then partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms until 2 am. Slight chance of showers until 5 am, then chance of showers. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....60-65. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......13 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......740-940 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (9). Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Max temperature.....72-76. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Min humidity........60-70 percent. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest around 5 mph becoming north 10 to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2210-2710 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming north early in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (299). Pcpn amount.........None. $$ MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-252115- St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe 415 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024 .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 8 am, then mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms until 8 am, then showers and chance of thunderstorms until 2 pm, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 100 percent. Max temperature.....82-87. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Min humidity........54-64 percent. 24 hr trend......22 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest 10 to 15 mph becoming west early in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2780-3280 ft agl. Transport winds.....South 15 to 20 mph becoming southwest 25 to 30 mph in the late morning and afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (737). Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 30 percent. Min temperature.....64-70. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Max humidity........90-100 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......780-980 ft agl. Transport winds.....West 10 to 15 mph decreasing to around 5 mph after midnight. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. .WEDNESDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers until 2 pm. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 am until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent. Max temperature.....76-82. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........48-58 percent. 24 hr trend......3 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3230-3730 ft agl. Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (428). Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in. $$ .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. North winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs around 80. Southeast winds around 5 mph. .SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds around 10 mph. .SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the mid 70s. .MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. $$ BT