Fire Weather Outlook Discussion
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
845 FNUS21 KWNS 181630 FWDDY1 Day 1 Fire Weather Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1129 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024 Valid 181700Z - 191200Z ...Update... Only minor adjustments were made to the current Elevated area across eastern and southern NM. West to southwest sustained winds will increase late this morning through this afternoon near and east of the Sacramento Mountains, northeastward through the high plains of NM and the far western panhandles of TX/OK. The latest observational trends and high resolution NWP guidance suggest locally critical meteorological conditions may develop for 2-3 hours across far northeastern NM late this afternoon ahead of a stalling cold front. Less receptive fuels within this region preclude the need for a Critical area though. Much farther west across the Mohave Valley near the NV/AZ/CA borders, a very tight pressure gradient will continue to result in breezy north winds (gusts near 35-45 mph) behind a cold front, where RH is currently below 15 percent. However, wind speeds should quickly decrease after 18Z as a locally enhanced pressure gradient relaxes. ..Barnes.. 06/18/2024 .PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 0152 AM CDT Tue Jun 18 2024/ ...Synopsis... A trough will lift northward across the Northern Rockies into the northern Plains today. Heights will rise across the southwestern US with weakening southwest gradients and lighter winds returning where the driest fuels remain currently. Areas of dry southwesterly flow will linger across portions of central/eastern New Mexico, with afternoon relative humidity reductions to 10-15 percent overlapping winds around 15 mph for a period of Elevated fire weather this afternoon. Localized breezes and Elevated fire weather concerns may extend further southwest into western New Mexico and southern Arizona. ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov/fire for graphic product... $$