Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS

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269
WUUS01 KWNS 211629
PTSDY1

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1127 AM CDT SAT SEP 21 2024

VALID TIME 211630Z - 221200Z

PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... TORNADO ...

0.02   33100488 35580614 35950582 35780460 35830380 35940303
       36390134 36180036 35690022 34610101 33240232 31980300
       31580323 31740407 32050431 33100488
0.05   33870462 34490472 34820441 35000403 35330279 35510215
       35360151 35060131 34580152 33650236 33460297 33360343
       33510407 33870462
&&

... HAIL ...

0.05   42007937 42587791 42247713 39877695 38427729 36867836
       36817965 37418036 39367998 40997994 42007937
0.05   43159548 44769512 45809335 46239038 45888934 44668894
       43118984 40609274 39039455 38729577 39129722 40549759
       43159548
0.05   29790549 31600486 32300507 33990546 35410704 36220751
       36610726 36900632 36740477 36830296 36770109 36240005
       34820012 32450179 30180263 28930373
0.15   35740265 35990159 35910122 35700109 34880106 33700175
       32760246 31890311 31730325 31690357 31940403 32130422
       33040472 34310482 35320520 35640503 35690461 35600369
       35740265
SIGN   33140314 32820386 32980409 33540424 34910439 35320410
       35590368 35650321 35760257 35990163 35930122 35700110
       35170106 34780128 33710252 33300295 33140314
&&

... WIND ...

0.05   42027928 42567788 42247712 39687612 38737650 36877835
       36807967 37388035 39397997 41037994 42027928
0.05   41689667 42649564 44689322 45659188 46249036 45888934
       44688895 43108983 40529281 38989459 38769577 39099724
       40569762 41689667
0.05   29790549 31600486 32280511 33990546 35400701 36210753
       36620723 36900626 36740471 36850295 36780114 36260004
       34790014 32450179 30090267 28910381
0.15   35620365 35790242 35990159 35930124 35700107 34890106
       33750173 32050299 31720324 31690359 31990410 32130422
       33070470 34300482 35210499 35520489 35690461 35620365
&&

CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1

... CATEGORICAL ...

SLGT   33070472 34250481 35320522 35660503 35700459 35590368
       35760252 35990159 35920125 35680107 34880106 33710174
       32280280 31740325 31680356 31930400 32130422 33070472
MRGL   30260533 31600486 32270510 33990546 35430703 36230751
       36620725 36900625 36740469 36840287 36790112 36250005
       34800012 32450179 30070268 28920376
MRGL   41699667 43169548 44779513 45809335 46239038 45888934
       44698892 43118983 40639270 39009455 38729578 39119723
       40549757 41699667
MRGL   42037930 42577792 42287716 39707611 38797648 37777739
       36867836 36807966 37418038 39377996 41017993 42037930
TSTM   37317448 34837735 33488121 32938312 33238408 34128438
       34668413 35048467 34948572 34658710 34719008 35219297
       35939441 36309598 35719730 33060001 30110220 28460397
       99999999 30820576 31980521 34320632 34670693 33760886
       33481021 34221134 34741295 36271410 38491348 41091228
       41730947 41350670 41070513 40890329 41649990 42979612
       45559500 47909329 49599586 99999999 46908390 44228497
       42458612 40108674 38628692 38258579 38938316 39938143
       41158063 42908180 99999999 45317589 43757563 40747529
       39327498 38337456 99999999 27948349 28768163 29838116
       30598060

&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW
ROW 50 ENE 4CR 25 S LVS LVS 30 E LVS 30 N TCC 20 S DHT 25 NNW BGD 20
NNE BGD 20 E BGD 45 ESE AMA LBB 35 SE HOB INK 20 WSW INK 30 SSE CNM
15 SSE CNM 20 SW ROW.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 W
MRF 15 SSW GDP 35 NNW GDP 15 ESE 4CR 35 NW ABQ 35 WNW 4SL 45 NNW 4SL
40 SSW ALS 10 W RTN 30 NNE CAO 20 SSW LBL 75 SE LBL 25 NNE CDS 25 NW
BGS 30 W 6R6 100 S MRF.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW
TQE 15 W SPW 15 N RWF 40 ENE STC 25 SSW IWD 20 NNE RHI 40 E CWA 20
ESE LNR 35 SSW OTM 10 SSE MKC 25 SSW TOP 30 W MHK 45 E HSI 25 WSW
TQE.

THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW
JHW 40 SSW ROC 15 WNW ELM 30 W ILG 30 SSE BWI 20 NNW RIC 20 NW AVC
25 NW DAN 25 WNW ROA 20 S MGW 25 S FKL 10 SSW JHW.

GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 70 SE WAL 15 E OAJ 20
W OGB 35 ENE MCN 35 SE ATL 35 N ATL 65 ENE RMG 30 E CHA 30 WSW CHA
20 W HSV 25 SSW MEM RUE 15 WSW FYV 10 NW TUL 25 NE OKC 50 NNW ABI
6R6 130 S MRF ...CONT... 75 SSE ELP 25 WNW GDP 40 ENE ONM 30 SW ABQ
75 ESE SOW 55 NW SAD 65 SSW INW 30 WNW PRC 60 ENE LAS 25 W MLF 15
WSW OGD 25 WNW RKS 40 SE RWL 15 WSW CYS 20 SW SNY 20 NW BBW 40 NNE
SUX 30 SE AXN 40 NNW HIB 50 NNW RRT ...CONT... 35 NE ANJ 15 WSW HTL
25 NE BEH 25 SSE LAF 40 SSW BMG SDF 50 NW HTS 25 E ZZV 10 SSE YNG 55
ENE MTC ...CONT... 55 WNW MSS 25 SE ART 10 NE ABE 25 WSW ACY 50 E
SBY ...CONT... 50 W PIE 25 NW ORL 15 SE SGJ 60 NE SGJ.