Probabilistic Outlook Points
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
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WUUS01 KWNS 211246
PTSDY1
DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK AREAL OUTLINE
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0745 AM CDT SAT SEP 21 2024
VALID TIME 211300Z - 221200Z
PROBABILISTIC OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... TORNADO ...
0.02 33100488 35650566 36160485 36070295 36100168 35880130
34790103 33240232 31980296 32050431 33100488
0.05 35580372 35670277 35340213 34490200 33840295 33720384
34200477 35330521 35690463 35580372
&&
... HAIL ...
0.05 42007937 42587791 42247713 39877695 38427729 36867836
36817965 37418036 39367998 40997994 42007937
0.05 43159548 44769512 45809335 46239038 45888934 44668894
43118984 40609274 39039455 38729577 39129722 40549759
43159548
0.05 29790549 31600486 32300507 33990546 35410704 36220751
36610726 36900632 36740477 36830296 36770109 36240005
34820012 32450179 30450236 28730295
0.15 35780268 35490161 34760133 33830223 32810248 32240292
32010341 32130422 33040472 34310482 35320520 35690463
35600369 35780268
&&
... WIND ...
0.05 42027928 42567788 42247712 39877698 38427728 36877835
36807967 37388035 39397997 41037994 42027928
0.05 41689667 42649564 44689322 45659188 46249036 45888934
44688895 43108983 40529281 38989459 38769577 39099724
40569762 41689667
0.05 29790549 31600486 32300507 33990546 35400701 36210753
36620723 36900626 36740471 36850295 36780114 36260004
34790014 32450179 30480234 28760293
0.15 35800265 35470160 34770132 33830223 32810248 32240292
32010341 32130422 33070470 34260480 35330521 35690463
35590367 35800265
&&
CATEGORICAL OUTLOOK POINTS DAY 1
... CATEGORICAL ...
SLGT 33070472 34250481 35320522 35690464 35590368 35790266
35480160 34770132 33800223 32830245 32230291 32010341
32130422 33070472
MRGL 30260533 31600486 32270510 33990546 35430703 36230751
36620725 36900625 36740469 36840287 36790112 36250005
34800012 32450179 30410236 28770293
MRGL 41699667 43169548 44779513 45809335 46239038 45888934
44698892 43118983 40639270 39009455 38729578 39119723
40549757 41699667
MRGL 42037930 42577792 42257714 39877696 38427730 36867836
36807966 37418038 39377996 41017993 42037930
TSTM 45317589 43757563 40747529 39327498 38337456 99999999
37317448 35937755 34958022 34658221 34548292 34758403
34778525 34658710 34909036 35219297 35939441 36309598
36079727 34779855 32220068 31710113 30110220 29170249
99999999 31360739 33870696 34310766 34260835 33940924
33681047 33931277 34431377 36031447 38211427 41091228
41730947 41350670 41070513 41130353 41530189 42979910
44259742 45169664 46319641 47819683 49609883 99999999
46798322 45228443 43718517 42478537 40808539 39628532
39328491 39138432 39348370 39858316 40928264 42908180
99999999 28378353 29218241 30138143 30598060
&&
THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SW
ROW 50 ENE 4CR 25 S LVS 30 E LVS 30 N TCC 15 SSW DHT 20 NNE AMA 40
SE AMA 25 WNW LBB 45 ENE HOB 35 NNE INK 20 NW INK 15 SSE CNM 20 SW
ROW.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 80 W
MRF 15 SSW GDP 35 NNW GDP 15 ESE 4CR 35 NW ABQ 35 WNW 4SL 45 NNW 4SL
40 SSW ALS 10 W RTN 30 NNE CAO 20 SSW LBL 75 SE LBL 25 NNE CDS 25 NW
BGS 25 NNW 6R6 100 SSW 6R6.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 WSW
TQE 15 W SPW 15 N RWF 40 ENE STC 25 SSW IWD 20 NNE RHI 40 E CWA 20
ESE LNR 35 SSW OTM 10 SSE MKC 25 SSW TOP 30 W MHK 45 E HSI 25 WSW
TQE.
THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 10 SSW
JHW 40 SSW ROC 15 WNW ELM 25 SSW CXY 35 SSW DCA 20 NW AVC 25 NW DAN
25 WNW ROA 20 S MGW 25 S FKL 10 SSW JHW.
GEN TSTMS ARE FCST TO THE RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 55 WNW MSS 25 SE ART
10 NE ABE 25 WSW ACY 50 E SBY ...CONT... 70 SE WAL 20 ENE RWI 45 ESE
CLT 15 S GSP 10 WNW AND 70 NW AHN 20 S CHA 20 W HSV 25 WSW MEM RUE
15 WSW FYV 10 NW TUL 35 NW CQB 10 NW FSI 50 E BGS 40 SSE BGS 6R6 60
SSW 6R6 ...CONT... 65 SSE DMN 10 SSW ONM 50 WNW ONM 70 SSW GNT 50
ESE SOW 50 SSW SOW 55 SSW PRC 55 ESE EED 40 E LAS 45 NNE P38 15 WSW
OGD 25 WNW RKS 40 SE RWL 15 WSW CYS 30 W SNY 55 SW MHN 40 NNW ONL 30
W BKX 15 SW VVV 45 SW DTL 20 ESE GFK 100 N DVL ...CONT... 60 ENE ANJ
30 SE PLN 50 SSW HTL 20 NNE AZO 15 SW FWA 45 S MIE 30 WNW LUK LUK 40
ENE LUK 20 SW CMH 10 NW MFD 55 ENE MTC ...CONT... 60 WNW PIE 10 WNW
OCF 15 NNW SGJ 60 NE SGJ.