Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
Issued by NWS

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Graphics & Text |  Print | Product List |  Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37
007
ACUS01 KWNS 140045
SWODY1
SPC AC 140044

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0744 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

Valid 140100Z - 141200Z

...THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN SOUTHEAST AZ
TO SOUTH-CENTRAL NM...

...SUMMARY...
Isolated severe gusts remain possible into late evening across
southeast Arizona to south-central New Mexico.

...01Z Update...
Multiple weakly organized clusters are ongoing across southeast AZ
to south-central NM, within a modest combination of deep-layer shear
and lingering buoyancy. Prior overturning and lack of greater
organization should result in severe wind potential diminishing over
the next couple hours. See MCD 1666 for additional discussion.

Elsewhere, locally strong storms are expected to diminish over the
next couple hours across the East, South-Central States, and Upper
Midwest. Isolated strong gusts may accompany convection developing
tonight along the international border in MT/ND from the southern
Canadian Prairies, where scant elevated buoyancy should be present
atop residual inverted-v thermodynamic profiles.

..Grams.. 07/14/2025

$$