412
ACUS01 KWNS 200055
SWODY1
SPC AC 200053

Day 1 Convective Outlook
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0753 PM CDT Wed Jun 19 2024

Valid 200100Z - 201200Z

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS SOUTH
TEXAS...

...SUMMARY...
A few tornadoes are possible across south Texas tonight in
association with Tropical Storm Alberto.  Otherwise, scattered
strong to locally severe thunderstorms remain possible over the New
Mexico region.

...01z Update...

Tropical Storm Alberto is propagating slowly west toward the Mexican
Coast, and the center of circulation is forecast to track inland
later tonight about 22N, or around 250 miles south of Brownsville
TX. Widespread convection is rotating inland across coastal South
TX, and low-level shear is forecast to increase through the evening
hours. 00z sounding from BRO exhibited surface-3km SRH around 230
m2/s2, and this should strengthen as 850mb flow intensifies along
the north side of the cyclone. Tornado threat should gradually
increase with inland-moving supercells.

Farther northwest, scattered strong/severe slow-moving thunderstorms
are propagating north across south-central NM. Another small cluster
of storms is drifting northeast off the higher terrain to the east
of ABQ. Gusty winds and some hail threat linger with this activity
until the boundary layer cools later this evening.

..Darrow.. 06/20/2024

$$