Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
421
FNUS54 KEPZ 251936
FWFEPZ
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for New Mexico and Far West Texas
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
136 PM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT THURSDAY...
.DISCUSSION...
Fire weather concerns will be minimal through the period.
Monsoonal moisture remains in place through next weekend, keeping
relative humidities high and resulting in daily chances for showers
and thunderstorms. Overnight recoveries will be very good. Winds
will be light outside of gusty outflow boundaries from storms. An
elevated risk of flash flooding on Wednesday and then this weekend
may result in debris flows over burn scars. Temperatures will be
hot on Wednesday, cooling a bit later in the week.
&&
...Percentages shown in the sky/weather portion reflect
sky cover amount...
...Mean elevations used to obtain mixing heights as follows:
Zone 110 - Reserve (5900 ft)
Zone 111 - Deming (4300 ft)
Zone 112 - Las Cruces(3900 ft)
Zone 113 - Ruidoso (6900 ft)
Ventilation categories are determined by criteria established
by the state of New Mexico.
NMZ110-261230-
Southwest Mountains/Gila NF/Apache NF/GLZ-
136 PM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....60-64.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....64-69 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....57-62 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
and thunderstorms likely after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-89.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....24-29 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......9100-10800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (94900 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....59-63.
* Below 7500 ft....65-70.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....72-77 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....68-73 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................5 until 2400, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then showers
and thunderstorms likely in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....76-85.
* Below 7500 ft....86-91.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....38-43 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 5.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7500 ft AGL increasing to 10500 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (135200 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 67. Highs 85 to 90. West winds around
5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 64 to 69. Highs 86 to 91. North winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows 63 to 68. Highs 81 to 86. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
NMZ111-261230-
Southwest Deserts and Lowlands/Las Cruces BLM/GLZ-
136 PM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
* Min temperature.....72-77.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........51-56 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................4 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........4.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........20-25 percent.
* 24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......7200 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (117600 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....70-74.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................5 until 2400, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....93-98.
* Min humidity........24-29 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 11800 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Excellent (158500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99. West winds around
10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 95 to 100.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows near 70. Highs in the lower to mid 90s. East
winds around 10 mph.
$$
NMZ112-261230-
South Central Lowlands and Southern Rio Grande Valley/BLM/GLZ-
136 PM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
showers in the evening. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the night. Slight
chance of showers after midnight.
* Min temperature.....74-78.
* 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
* Max humidity........42-47 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......West winds around 5 mph shifting to the north
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 2 until 0300, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....99-104.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........18-22 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL increasing to 13600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115400 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................5 until 2400, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....92-97.
* Min humidity........25-30 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6700 ft AGL increasing to 10900 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (91700 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 72 to 77. Highs 96 to 101. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 70s. Highs 95 to 100. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 91 to 96. Southeast winds
5 to 10 mph.
$$
NMZ113-261230-
Capitan and Sacramento Mountains/Lincoln NF/LNZ-
136 PM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....59-64.
* Below 7500 ft....66-71.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....58-63 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....53-58 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......20 percent.
* LAL.................2.
* Haines index........5.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....80-89.
* Below 7500 ft....91-96.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....30-35 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....22-27 percent.
* 24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......North winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......10800-12100 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 20 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (127700 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....56-63.
* Below 7500 ft....64-69.
* Max humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....76-81 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....70-75 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 17 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................5 until 2400, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Slight chance
of rain showers in the morning, then rain
showers likely and chance of thunderstorms in
the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....
* Above 7500 ft....75-84.
* Below 7500 ft....85-90.
* Min humidity........
* Above 7500 ft....42-47 percent.
* Below 7500 ft....32-39 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 14 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......7600-8800 ft AGL.
* Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (92600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 68. Highs 86 to 91. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 63 to 68. Highs 83 to 88. Northeast winds
around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 60 to 65. Highs 80 to 85. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ055-261230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 055
El Paso County-
136 PM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT THURSDAY...
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
the evening.
* Min temperature.....78-84.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........43-48 percent.
* 24 hr trend......Unchanged.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 13 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 1.
* Haines index........5.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Showers likely
and chance of thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....102-107.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........17-21 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6300 ft AGL increasing to 13400 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....East around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (115000 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Showers and
thunderstorms likely in the evening, then
chance of showers and thunderstorms after
midnight.
* Min temperature.....75-79.
* Max humidity........58-63 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 10 mph shifting to the
west after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southwest 8 mph.
* Chc of precip.......70 percent.
* LAL.................5 until 2400, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....95-99.
* Min humidity........24-28 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..West 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........3.
* Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL increasing to 10600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....West around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (85600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows near 80. Highs 99 to 103. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 70s to lower 80s. Highs 98 to 102. Southeast
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid to upper 70s. Highs in the mid to upper 90s.
Southeast winds around 10 mph.
$$
TXZ056-261230-
Texas Fire Weather Zone 056
Hudspeth County-
136 PM MDT Tue Jun 25 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance
of thunderstorms in the evening. Chance of
showers through the night. Chance of
thunderstorms after midnight.
* Min temperature.....74-78.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
* Max humidity........50-55 percent.
* 24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Northwest 12 mph.
* Chc of precip.......40 percent.
* LAL.................3 until 2400, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
.WEDNESDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent) until 1200, then
partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms after 1200.
* Max temperature.....98-103.
* 24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
* Min humidity........20-24 percent.
* 24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
* 20-foot winds.......South winds around 5 mph shifting to the east
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..North 7 mph.
* Chc of precip.......60 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........4.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 12600 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....Southeast around 15 knots.
* Vent category.......Very good (123500 knot-ft).
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms through the night.
* Min temperature.....71-75.
* Max humidity........62-67 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 10 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..Southeast 15 mph.
* Chc of precip.......50 percent.
* LAL.................4.
* Haines index........4.
.THURSDAY...
* Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
* Max temperature.....94-99.
* Min humidity........22-27 percent.
* 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL winds..South 9 mph.
* Chc of precip.......30 percent.
* LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4.
* Haines index........5.
* Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
afternoon.
* Transport winds.....South around 10 knots.
* Vent category.......Good (73500 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 70s. Highs 96 to 101. West winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 94 to 99. East winds around
5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy with chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower to mid 70s. Highs 91 to 96. Southeast winds
around 10 mph.
$$
Aronson