Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
Issued by NWS Atlanta, GA
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106 FXUS62 KFFC 130727 AFDFFC Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Peachtree City GA 327 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 ...Morning Area Forecast Discussion... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Friday) Issued at 326 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Highlights: -A few isolated showers and thunderstorms possible across portions of Central Georgia and NE Georgia mtns this afternoon. -Continued warming temperatures through Friday A passing shortwave trough has resulted in continued mid to high level cloud cover across the forecast area. A weak surface low is also moving through the area and may result in variable winds through the morning. Increased boundary layer winds should inhibit any lower clouds this morning. Overall conditions will be fairly similar to yesterday -- with daytime cu and largely dry conditions (for most locales). Hi-res guidance does continue to hint at isolated showers and storms this afternoon likely due to slightly increased moisture and lift from the shortwave. Additionally, some terrain induced activity will be possible across far NE Georgia as well. Once the shortwave has passed gradual clearing is expected across the forecast area. Toasty temperatures can be expected both today and on Friday. Today high temperatures will range from the low 80s across NE Georgia to mid 90s across much of Central Georgia. By Friday, most locations (aside from the NE Georgia mtns) will climb into the mid to upper 90s. The saving grace right now looks to be dewpoints -- which would largely keep heat indices below 100. Even still -- it`s going to be hot so make sure to take necessary precautions if outdoors and check in on vulnerable groups! 07 && .LONG TERM... (Friday night through Wednesday) Issued at 326 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 Taking a look at conditions starting on Saturday, High pressure and an associated ridge over the Great Lakes and Great Planes will mean temperatures will be HOT this weekend. Models are attempting to resolve low pressure in lee of the Appalachians and over North GA. This is likely a product of NE flow around developing sfc lows in the Western Atlantic (see NHC outlook) pulling dry air into a wedge- like pattern for our area. PWATs will be slightly below normal, hanging around the 1.25" mark. Less moisture in the air will mean that temperatures climb above normal for this time of the year. The record high at the ATL airport on Saturday is 96, with recent forecasts consistently progging near 99. Temperatures elsewhere across the region will reach into the upper 90s to near 100, especially in east central GA. We aren`t likely to cool off much into Sunday, with highs remaining in the upper 90s for much of the region. Moisture begins to surge as we get into early next week with PWATs climbing back over 1.5". When combined with a week mid level disturbance, PoPs return Sunday through Tuesday morning. Temperatures will be in the upper 80s to low 90s by mid next week. SM && .AVIATION... (06Z TAFS) Issued at 130 AM EDT Thu Jun 13 2024 SCT to BKN 6-8kft clouds still persist across portions of the forecast area at this hour. While diminishing in coverage, some of these clouds along with high cirrus may persist into the pre-dawn hours. There is still the potential of seeing some SCT MVFR cigs across far SE GA with impacts (if any) as far north as MCN as early as 09z. Winds remain light tonight but will become more VRB as a result of a passing weak surface low. Winds through the day Thursday will remain on the E side 3 to 6kts. FEW-SCT cu possible after 14z. //ATL Confidence...06Z Update... HIgh confidence on all elements. 07 && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Athens 90 67 95 71 / 0 0 0 0 Atlanta 91 72 96 74 / 10 0 0 0 Blairsville 84 63 88 64 / 20 10 10 0 Cartersville 91 69 96 69 / 10 0 10 0 Columbus 94 73 97 74 / 20 10 0 0 Gainesville 88 68 93 71 / 0 0 10 0 Macon 93 69 97 73 / 10 0 0 0 Rome 93 68 97 70 / 10 0 10 0 Peachtree City 92 70 96 72 / 10 0 0 0 Vidalia 93 70 96 74 / 10 0 10 0 && .FFC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...07 LONG TERM....SM AVIATION...07