Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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601 FXUS65 KFGZ 221553 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 853 AM MST Sun Sep 22 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Dry conditions with increasing temperatures through the end of the week. Light and variable winds expected each day. && .UPDATE...No forecast updates are needed this morning as clear skies prevail across the northland. Some locally breezy north to northeast winds this morning south (downwind) of the Mogollon Rim and higher terrain, but overall a much warmer and calm day is in store. && .PREV DISCUSSION /422 AM MST/...The low pressure system that brought showers/thunderstorms throughout much of Saturday will continue to push eastward today. As a result, light north-northwest winds are expected this afternoon with near normal temperatures. Throughout this coming week, a ridge will gradually build across portions of the western CONUS. This pattern will assist with temperatures reaching 7-15 degrees above normal towards next weekend. The high pressure system looks to wobble around throughout the forecast period, so wind directions will vary but should generally be 10 mph or less. Locally breezy locations could see slightly higher wind speeds. Despite the afternoons remaining on the warm side, overnight lows are still expected to reach near freezing (or at least low 40s) for some areas across the higher terrain. The foreseeable future looks pretty quiet in terms of weather. Enjoy the warm temperatures, light winds, and dry conditions while they last! && .AVIATION...Sunday 22/18Z through Monday 23/18Z...Look for VFR conditions with north to northeast winds at 5-15 kts. OUTLOOK...Monday 23/18Z through Wednesday 25/18Z...VFR conditions will continue with light and variable winds generally less than 15 kts. && .FIRE WEATHER...Today and Monday...Look for warm and dry conditions both days. Northerly winds at 5-15 mph today, becoming variable at 5-15 mph on Monday. Afternoon RH values will range from 15-25 percent. Tuesday through Thursday...Warm and dry conditions will continue. Expect variable winds at 5-15 mph with afternoon RH values ranging from 10-20 percent. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...MCT AVIATION...McCollum FIRE WEATHER...McCollum For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff