536
FNUS75 KFGZ 221019
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Monument...USFS
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
319 AM MST Sat Jun 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 MST on June 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected through
the weekend. Best chances for storms will be during the afternoon hours,
decreasing in coverage after sunset. Southwesterly to southeasterly winds
around 5 to 10 mph each afternoon with light and variable winds overnight.
Gusty and erratic winds will be possible near thunderstorms. With plenty of
moisture in place, the threat for dry lightning is low. Stronger storms may
produce wetting rains over/near the burn site.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny then becoming mostly cloudy.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly
                    after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent after 11 AM.
Max temperature.....85 to 87.
Min humidity........25 to 30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West-southwest winds around 5 mph, becoming south
                    to southeast around 5 to 10 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots shifting to the south
                    late in the morning, then shifting to the
                    northeast in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms,
                    mainly before 9 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent before 9 PM.
Min temperature.....56 to 60.
Max humidity........70 to 80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light and variable overnight.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Transport winds.....West around 10 knots shifting to the north late
                    in the evening, then shifting to the west
                    overnight.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny. Chance of showers and thunderstorms,
                    with the best chances during the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the morning, increasing to 60 percent
                    by Noon.
Max temperature.....84 to 86.
Min humidity........25 to 35 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light southeast winds around 5 mph in the morning,
                    becoming south around 10 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
LAL.................4.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Transport winds.....East around 5 knots shifting to the southeast
                    early in the afternoon, then shifting to the
                    southwest late in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...MEOLA
Requested by...Anthony Cavaluzzi
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416510.0/FGZ
.DELDT 06/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL anthony.cavaluzzi@usda.gov