430
FNUS75 KFGZ 260924
FWSFGZ

Spot Forecast for Desoto...AZ-PNF
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
224 AM MST Wed Jun 26 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 MST on June 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the
National Weather Service in Flagstaff, AZ

.DISCUSSION...Scattered showers and thunderstorms are once again expected
to develop this afternoon. With such light general winds right now, afternoon
winds will become outflow dominated by nearby storms. The increase in
moisture allowing for storms to develop will continue to allow afternoon
RHs to remain elevated. Despite the developing clouds this afternoon, sunny
to mostly sunny skies this morning should allow for quick warming with highs possibly
nearing the upper 90s before clouds can start limiting heating.

Tonight, shower and thunderstorm activity will linger into the first part of
the evening, with activity decreasing overtime. Good overnight RH recovery
expected. Winds will be light and variable.

Thursday will be notably different than the past several days. Overall drier
weather is expected with with breezy winds in the afternoon: winds could
gust as high as 30 mph. An isolated shower or thunderstorm in the afternoon
can not be totally ruled out though.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny to partly cloudy in the morning.
                    Becoming partly to mostly cloudy in the afternoon.
                    Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 97.
Min humidity........31 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph late in the
                    morning. Winds will become outflow dominated in the
                    afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
LAL.................3.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Good.
Clearing Index......632.
Mixing height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 0 to 5 knots shifting to the west
                    late in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph in the evening
                    becoming light.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Min Vent Rate.......Poor.
Clearing Index......2.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 knots.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly Sunny, becoming partly cloudy in the
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........25 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 10 mph.
LAL.................1.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Max Vent Rate.......Excellent.
Clearing Index......1316.
Mixing height.......7800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 10 knots shifting to the southwest
                    around 15 knots in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...ROAKES
Requested by...Tyler Heye IC
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416651.1/FGZ
.DELDT 06/26/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL azpdc@firenet.gov