831
FXUS64 KFWD 222257
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
557 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Tonight through Sunday Night/

Mid level ridging will dominate the Southern Plains through the
short term period with hot and dry conditions continuing into
early next week. Despite an influx of deeper tropical moisture
across South Texas, any precipitation should remain well removed
from our area. Highs on Sunday will top out near 100 degrees in
many locations along and north of I-20 with slightly cooler
readings across our Central Texas counties. Heat indices will
range between 100-105.

Dunn

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 258 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024/
/Sunday Night through the End of the Week/

The main headline for the extended period features the return of
summer heat across North and Central Texas. An upper level ridge
will remain in place through the start of next week. This will
allow afternoon highs to gradually creep into the triple digits,
with the frequency of triple digit readings increasing as we move
through the end of the week. Heat indices will meet and even
exceed 105 degrees at times, so heat products will likely be
needed as we close out the month of June. Make sure to keep an eye
on yourself and others, especially for those more vulnerable to
heat illnesses.

Most of the area will remain dry through the period, with a few
exceptions across portions of North and East Texas on Wednesday
and perhaps into Thursday. This will be directly related to the
upper level ridge, which will slowly drift westward. As the ridge
moves west, we will be placed in northerly flow around the
periphery of the high. This may allow a weak front and surface
boundaries to push south into the region. Because of this minor
pattern change, low rain chances will remain in the forecast
through the middle of the upcoming week. This low potential for
isolated thunderstorms will do very little to stop the heat
though, so continue to stay cool and hydrated as we settle in for
the summer heat ahead.

Reeves

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00Z TAFs/

VFR will prevail through the period with south winds around 10 kt.
No significant aviation concerns are expected through Sunday.

Dunn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    78  99  80  99  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                74  96  76  97  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               75  97  77  97  78 /   0   0   0   5   0
Denton              76  99  76 100  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            76  98  78  99  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              78  99  79 100  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             75  97  75  97  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           76  97  77  98  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              73  96  75  97  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       74  98  75  99  79 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$