807
FXUS64 KFWD 230337
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1037 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Tonight Through Sunday Night/

A stagnant weather pattern will continue as we head into next
week with high pressure remaining anchored from the Desert
Southwest to the Lower Mississippi Valley. Most locations should
stay just below 100 degrees Sunday afternoon, but max heat index
values will average between 100 and 105. There will be some relief
from the heat both tonight and Sunday night with lows falling
into the 70s for most.

Subsidence under the ridge and shallow moisture will hinder any
showers/storms from developing, but fair weather cumulus will be
present during the day.

Overall, the wind will remain from the south in the 5 to 10 mph
range through Sunday night, but it may briefly become
southwesterly Sunday afternoon. Any southwesterly wind component
may push temperatures over 100 degrees, especially west of the
I-35 corridor.

79

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 258 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024/
/Sunday Night through the End of the Week/

The main headline for the extended period features the return of
summer heat across North and Central Texas. An upper level ridge
will remain in place through the start of next week. This will
allow afternoon highs to gradually creep into the triple digits,
with the frequency of triple digit readings increasing as we move
through the end of the week. Heat indices will meet and even
exceed 105 degrees at times, so heat products will likely be
needed as we close out the month of June. Make sure to keep an eye
on yourself and others, especially for those more vulnerable to
heat illnesses.

Most of the area will remain dry through the period, with a few
exceptions across portions of North and East Texas on Wednesday
and perhaps into Thursday. This will be directly related to the
upper level ridge, which will slowly drift westward. As the ridge
moves west, we will be placed in northerly flow around the
periphery of the high. This may allow a weak front and surface
boundaries to push south into the region. Because of this minor
pattern change, low rain chances will remain in the forecast
through the middle of the upcoming week. This low potential for
isolated thunderstorms will do very little to stop the heat
though, so continue to stay cool and hydrated as we settle in for
the summer heat ahead.

Reeves

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/06Z TAFs/

Excellent flying weather will continue across North and Central
Texas through Sunday night with a mostly clear sky at night and
few to scattered Cu during the day.

A south to southwest wind will remain in the 5 to 11 knot range
though Sunday night with occasional higher daytime gusts.

79

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    78  99  80  99  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
Waco                74  96  76  97  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               75  97  77  97  78 /   0   0   0   5   0
Denton              76  99  76 100  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
McKinney            76  98  78  99  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
Dallas              78  99  79 100  81 /   0   0   0   0   0
Terrell             75  97  75  97  78 /   0   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           76  97  77  98  79 /   0   0   0   0   0
Temple              73  96  75  97  76 /   0   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       74  98  75  99  79 /   0   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$