992
FXUS64 KFWD 300004
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
704 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
/Tonight through Sunday Night/

Heat and humidity continues through the rest of the weekend with
no major changes to the current forecast. At this hour, a few
showers have developed across our very far southeastern counties
but coverage will remain <10%. We`ll be watching a frontal
boundary sag south across Oklahoma tonight where thunderstorms are
currently ongoing. This front won`t make it into our area, but the
boundary itself may provide a focus for additional convective
development late tonight into Sunday across south/southeast
Oklahoma which could clip our far northern/northeastern counties.
We`ll have 20% PoPs to account for this possibility. Otherwise,
temperatures will again be hot with overnight lows near record
high minimums in the lower 80s and highs on Sunday near 100 again.
The heat advisory will continue through the rest of the weekend.

Dunn

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 303 PM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/
Update:

No significant changes were needed with this afternoon`s update.
Hot temperatures will continue through the next week, with
slightly less intense heat indices than the recent few days. Low
storm chances (20%) are advertised for East TX Monday afternoon,
with the greatest coverage remaining outside of the forecast area.
A weak front nearing the region and additional low rain chances
may bring a brief reprieve from the heat to the area on Days 7-8.

Gordon

Previous Discussion:
/Sunday Night Through Next Week/

Widespread triple digit temperatures will continue throughout the
week, with the hottest temperatures expected on Tuesday. Heat
index values will be between 103-110 degrees each day, but >110
degrees should be less common than we experienced this week. Heat
headlines will continue throughout the week for most (if not all)
areas. There are some early indications that the ridge responsible
for our hot and quiet weather will weaken and shift further west
late next week. As a result, rain chances will return late in the
week and potentially continue into next weekend. While most of
the rain would occur Friday onward, it`s worth monitoring the
forecast if you have any outdoor plans for the July 4th holiday,
as timing is certainly subject to change over the next several
days.

Barnes

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
/00Z TAFs/

VFR will prevail with south flow around 10 kt. No significant
aviation concerns are expected at this time.

Dunn

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    82  99  82 101  82 /   5   5   0   5   0
Waco                78  97  78  99  79 /   0   0   0   5   0
Paris               79  95  76  94  76 /  10  20   5  10   0
Denton              80 100  79 101  79 /   5   5   0   5   0
McKinney            81  98  78  99  79 /   5   5   0   5   0
Dallas              82 100  82 101  81 /   5   5   0   5   0
Terrell             78  97  78  98  78 /   5   5   0  10   0
Corsicana           79  98  80  99  80 /   0   0   0   5   0
Temple              77  98  77 100  77 /   0   5   5   5   0
Mineral Wells       78  99  78 101  78 /   5   5   0   5   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for
TXZ091>095-100>107-116>123-131>135-144>148-159-161-162.

Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Sunday for TXZ091>095-100>107-
116>123-131>135-144>148-159-161-162.

Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT Sunday for TXZ115-129-130-141>143-
156>158-160-174-175.

&&

$$