095
FXUS65 KGGW 240815
AFDGGW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Glasgow MT
215 AM MDT Mon Jun 24 2024

.DISCUSSION...

KEY MESSAGES:

- Warm and dry conditions last through Wednesday. A more active
  weather pattern begins Wednesday night.

- A cold front Thursday night will bring a more significant
  chance for rain through the weekend.


WEATHER PATTERN OVERVIEW:

Most morning storms will exit the area by 5AM this morning.

Zonal flow takes over today through Tuesday with dry conditions
and slightly above average temperatures being the main impact. A
quick moving ridge moves through on Wednesday. This will be followed
by a trough moving into the Pacific Northwest and arriving
Thursday night in the form of a cold front. This will keep things
unsettled with rain and thunderstorm chances beginning Wednesday
night, becoming significant thursday night, and lasting into the
weekend.


FORECAST CONFIDENCE & DEVIATIONS:

Daytime winds for today were bumped up slightly through the
afternoon and into the evening using a blend of the NBM90/NBM.

-GAH


&&

.AVIATION...

LAST UPDATED: 0830Z

FLIGHT CAT: VFR - MVFR

DISCUSSION: Thunderstorms moving across the area should exit to
North Dakota around 11Z. Brief MVFR Visibility, small hail, and
gusty winds will be possible before their exit. Afterward FEW/SCT
mid level clouds in the afternoon, otherwise SKC through the rest
of the cycle.

LLWS: Possible through 13Z this morning.

WIND: W-NW at 10-20kts around sunrise onward gusting to 25kts in
the afternoon. Calming in the late evening and becoming light
after midnight.

-GAH


&&

.GGW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.


&&

$$

weather.gov/glasgow