946
FXUS63 KGID 250746
AFDGID

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Hastings NE
246 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- High temperatures in the low to mid 80s are expected through
  the weekend with potentially cooler weather going into next
  week.

- Dry weather is expected through the next 7 days.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 214 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Today...
Currently the forecast area (and really, the entire
central Plains) are under northerly flow aloft in between an
upper ridge centered over the Rockies and an upper trough
centered over SE Missouri / southern Illinois. At the surface,
high pressure is in place over the central Plains. This will
lead to light winds and clear skies, with high temperatures in
the low to mid 80s.

Thursday and Friday...
Both the upper ridge and trough will drift south and the surface
high will move off to the east Thursday. A surface low will move
into western South Dakota and western Nebraska Thursday,
bringing breezy winds mainly to our northern and western
counties Thursday afternoon. Sustained southerly winds of 10-15
mph with gusts to 20-25 mph will be possible. These will weaken
going into the evening Thursday as the surface low weakens.
Other than that, even with the tropical system and upper low
rotating around each other bringing it slightly more northwest
toward our area Thursday evening and Friday, it won`t be far
enough and our area will remain dry. High temperatures will be
in the low to mid 80s both days.

Saturday and Sunday...
The upper pattern will not change a lot, although the upper low
will finally start to move further east toward the east coast
by the end of the weekend. High temperatures are again expected
to be in the low to mid 80s.

Next Monday and Tuesday...
Finally there is a potential change in the pattern. An upper
trough is expected to move across the northern Plains Monday,
pulling a cold front through with it. The main question is
whether or not this really moves south far enough to
significantly impact the area, especially with this being days 6
and 7 of the forecast. We are fairly confident this would bring
about at least breezier conditions, although we still look to
remain dry at this time. Temperatures would be the big
uncertainty with this, with some model guidance keeping the area
mainly in the 70s and 80s and other guidance cooling things down
into the 60s by next Tuesday. That will have to be a wait and
see situation for now.


&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z THURSDAY/...
Issued at 1201 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

For KGRI/KEAR Airports:

VFR conditions with clear skies and light and variable winds
(5 kts or less) are expected through the TAF period.

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Hickford
AVIATION...Hickford