Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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FLUS43 KGID 010225 AAA
HWOGID

Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Hastings NE
925 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
020230-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
925 PM CDT Sun Jun 30 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Overnight.

Late tonight/early Monday morning, mainly after 2 AM, a fairly
widespread area of showers and thunderstorms will develop over
much of the area and slowly shift east. While the majority of
storms should be on the weaker side, a few could be strong to
marginally-severe, capable of producing hail up to around the
size of quarters.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Both Monday and Tuesday feature two separate weather concerns,
thunderstorms and heat.

Starting with thunderstorm and severe weather potential Monday
and Tuesday:
At sunrise Monday morning, a widespread area of showers and
thunderstorms will likely be ongoing mainly within counties along
and east of Highway 281, with a few storms capable of producing
mainly small hail. This activity should depart eastern portions of
the area by mid to late morning, leaving the entire area storm
free until at least late afternoon.

Then, during the late afternoon and evening, especially between 4
and 10 PM, nearly the entire area will be under at least a small
chance for severe storms, with the threat overall-greater in
Nebraska counties than Kansas counties. There is still some
uncertainty regarding whether storm coverage will be more
spotty/isolated in nature or perhaps more widespread, but any
severe storms that do develop will generally track from west-to-
east, with the primary threats being large hail to around golf
ball size, damaging wind gusts of 60 to 70 MPH, and perhaps a few
tornadoes. Although the threat for severe storms should largely
wane by around 10 PM, scattered weaker storms could continue well
into the night.

On Tuesday, at least spotty, and mainly weak thunderstorms will be
possible almost anywhere in the outlook area. However, there is at
least a Marginal Risk that a few severe storms could develop along
a cold front in far southeast portions of the area, affecting
counties such as Thayer, Jewell and Mitchell.

Turning to Monday and Tuesday heat concerns:
Southern parts of the area will become quite hot Monday afternoon,
with heat index values of at least 100 to 105 degrees. As a
result, a Heat Advisory will be in effect from 1 to 8 PM for all
area Kansas counties, along with Gosper, Furnas and Harlan
counties in Nebraska.

On Tuesday afternoon, extreme southeast parts of the area,
particularly Mitchell and Osborne counties in Kansas, could again
see heat index readings of at least 100 to 105 degrees.

Between Wednesday and Saturday, intermittent thunderstorm chances
continue for various parts of the area, including at least low
chances for Thursday, Independence Day.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Any reports of possible hail overnight would be appreciated.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

$$

Pfannkuch