Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO
111 FNUS75 KGJT 201537 FWSGJT Spot Forecast for Carpenter Ridge RX...BLM National Weather Service Grand Junction CO 937 AM MDT Fri Sep 20 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 MDT on September 23. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... A passing disturbance will keep showers and thunderstorms in the forecast for Monday and early Tuesday. The primary threat will be gusty outflow winds from passing storms. Wetting rains are not likely Monday, but chances increase Monday night. Tuesday looks like it will be mostly dry following the front. Light winds could pose challenges for mixing and smoke dispersal. .MONDAY... Sky/weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent) then becoming partly sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................10 percent. Max temperature.....63-68. Min humidity........28-33 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 mph shifting to the west-northwest in the afternoon at 8-12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (17000 knot-ft) increasing to good in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 or low. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL increasing to 6800 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....South 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. .MONDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. CWR.................20 percent. Min temperature.....38-43. Max humidity........71-76 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1000-31000 knot-ft). Haines Index........4 or low. LAL.................4 until 2400, then 3. Mixing height.......3900 ft AGL decreasing to 200 ft AGL overnight. Transport winds.....West 10 mph. .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of rain showers through the day. Slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. CWR.................10 percent. Max temperature.....62-67. Min humidity........28-33 percent. Wind (20 ft)........North winds 5 mph shifting to northeast by afternoon at 5-10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (21000 knot-ft) increasing to fair in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3. Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL increasing to 5800 ft AGL in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Northeast 10 mph. $$ Forecaster...Lucas Boyer Requested by...Brennon Ellis Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2422784.0/GJT .DELDT 09/20/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL bellis@blm.gov