793
FNUS75 KGJT 230350
FWSGJT

Spot Forecast for Baxter...Bureau of Land Management
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
950 PM MDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 2200 MDT on June 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Daytime temperatues will start warming up while surface
humidities will drop to the teens. Midlevel moisture will remain
aloft, however, allowing a slight chance for a quick shower or
storm to fire near the wildfire Sunday evening. Do not expect this
will happen but as a chance does exist, will keep it in the
forecast. Warm conditions continue Monday with a slight increase
noted in humdities. This will bring a slightly higher chance for
convection to fire Monday afternoon and evening though again,
those chances are very low. Generally light winds from the south
through southwest are expected through the period. Look for
drainage winds to kick in each night.

.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
Max humidity........51-56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/Downvalley 3 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 mph.
Clearing Index......90.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....93-98.
Min humidity........11-16 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor increasing to excellent in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......4800 ft AGL increasing to 13300 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 mph shifting to the southwest 14
                    mph in the afternoon.


.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
CWR.................10 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
Max humidity........40-45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Becoming downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good decreasing to poor overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate.
LAL.................3 until 2100, then 1.
Mixing height.......12400 ft AGL decreasing to 1000 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 mph shifting to the north
                    overnight.


.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Max temperature.....93-98.
Min humidity........15-20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair increasing to excellent in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low.
LAL.................1 until 1200, then 3.
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL increasing to 12100 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 mph shifting to the southwest 17
                    mph in the afternoon.
Clearing Index......490 increasing to 1050 in the afternoon.

$$
Forecaster...Tom Renwick
Requested by...Todd Foley
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416544.0/GJT
.DELDT 06/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL cogjc@firenet.gov