Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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868
FNUS53 KGRR 200749
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
349 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

...Hot/Humid, scattered storms...

.DISCUSSION...Scattered storms will continue today and Friday as
a weak frontal boundary moves back and forth across the region.
Locally heavy rainfall is possible with any storm that develops.
Hot and humid conditions will continue south of I-96 through
Saturday with heat indices in the mid to upper 90s.


MIZ037>039-043>045-202015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
349 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers likely
                    until 9 AM. Chance of thunderstorms. Chance of
                    showers after 9 AM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-62 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3500-4000 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....180-210 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.29 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 2
                    AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....61-66.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1900-2400
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....90-140 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.21 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....83-88.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........55-60 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4200-4700 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....360-460 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.19 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-202015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
349 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of
                    showers until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms.
                    Showers likely after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....220-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 11 PM. Chance
                    of rain showers after 1 AM. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms after 5 AM. Patchy fog after 2
                    AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.20 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Chance of showers. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....280-370 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.28 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-202015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
349 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2500-3000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5600-6100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....350-380 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.35 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    12 AM. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 4 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2000-2500
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....70-130 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM.
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........54-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1000-1500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4700-5200 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....West 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-490 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-202015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
349 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms. Showers likely after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......12 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-370 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.36 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Patchy fog after
                    1 AM. Slight chance of showers and
                    thunderstorms after 5 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......East winds up to 5 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....40-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.18 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Chance of showers. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 88.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......4800-5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-490 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.16 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-202015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
349 AM EDT Thu Jun 20 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms. Showers likely after 2 PM.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 89.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....310-380 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.03-0.65 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Areas of fog
                    after 12 AM.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....40-100 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Patchy fog until
                    9 AM. Chance of showers. Chance of
                    thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....87-92.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........50-55 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming west around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....350-480 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.29 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Light winds becoming south
5 to 6 mph overnight.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 8 to
13 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

$$