291
FNUS53 KGRR 190731
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
331 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

...Isolated Storms...

.DISCUSSION...Isolated thunderstorms are possible today and
Thursday. Heavy rainfall is possible in any storm that
develops. Otherwise, hot and humid conditions will continue
today.


MIZ037>039-043>045-192015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
331 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....86-91.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........62-67 percent near Lake Michigan and 50-55
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......4 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 6
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 22 mph
                    until midday.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4800-5300 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....870-1110 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.05 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1800-2300
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph shifting to the northeast
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....150-240 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.22 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....82-87.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1500-2000 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    3600-4100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....260-270 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.44 in.


$$

MIZ040-046-192015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
331 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent) until 2 PM, then
                    sunny (10-20 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    until 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent early in the morning.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph and gusty.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....950-1270 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms after 12 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent after midnight.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....160-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.10 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....80-85.
   24 hr trend......11 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-54 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....210-220 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.34 in.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-192015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
331 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5600-6100 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....820-920 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent). Chance of showers
                    and a slight chance of thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1400-1900
                    ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....100-120 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....87-92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........52-57 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northwest around 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    5000-5500 ft AGL Inland.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the north in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....320-340 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.65 in.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-192015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
331 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 AM, then
                    mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Max temperature.....88-93.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........34-39 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5700-6200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....940-1170 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Min temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......14 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......2200-2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....160-260 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.20 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....85-90.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........40-45 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....270-280 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.04-0.29 in.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-192015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
331 AM EDT Wed Jun 19 2024

.TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 3 PM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 92.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600-6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....790-890 (excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.31 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 2 AM.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1100-1600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....70 (poor).
Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.35 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Chance of
                    showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Max temperature.....87-92.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4900-5400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the northeast in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....270-290 (fair).
Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.90 in.


$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a slight chance of
thunderstorms. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Northeast
winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming light.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the mid 80s. Southeast winds 5 to 6 mph shifting to the
southwest in the afternoon.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
60s. South winds 5 to 6 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around 90.
Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of thunderstorms.
Showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. West winds 8 to
13 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 60.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s.

$$