Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
996
FNUS52 KILM 250729
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
329 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Warm and humid today with a stray shower possible inland this
afternoon. Unsettled weather returns Thursday and Friday as
Tropical Storm Helene tracks through the Gulf of Mexico toward the
Florida coast. High pressure should dry out the area over the
weekend.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-252330-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
329 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 30
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 2 1 2
Max/Min Temp 87 70 83
Min/Max RH (%) 66 99 76
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 SE 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 8 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3800 3100
Transport Wind (mph) SE 13 SE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49400 55800
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 19 Gen Poor 37 Fair
ADI Late 48 Gen Good 8 Poor 44 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 6 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 82 percent. Chance of precipitation 80 percent.
Southeast winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 64 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
67 percent. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-252330-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
329 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 30
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 2 2
Max/Min Temp 87 71 83
Min/Max RH (%) 64 99 74
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var SE 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.08
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/1000 1900 76/1000
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 2900
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51800 52200
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 25 Fair 40 Fair
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 3 7 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
64 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 70 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-252330-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
329 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 1 1 3
Max/Min Temp 86 72 82
Min/Max RH (%) 66 99 79
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 SE 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 SE 4 SE 9 G20
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.10
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0900 1900 76/0900
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 3700 2900
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 SE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 51800 52200
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 26 Fair 44 Gen Good
ADI Late 55 Gen Good 10 Poor 41 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 8 5 6
Max LVORI Late 3 6 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
80 percent. East winds around 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 76 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 69 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 80s. Minimum RH 72 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent. Light
winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 71 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-252330-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
329 AM EDT Wed Sep 25 2024
Today Tonight Thu
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 20 50
Precip Type Showers Showers Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 88 71 81
Min/Max RH (%) 61 100 79
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 Lgt/Var SE 8
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.21
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 8 AM 11 PM Continuing
Precip End 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/1000 1900 75/0900
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4100 2600
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 SE 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61500 46800
ADI Early 51 Gen Good 31 Fair 36 Fair
ADI Late 43 Gen Good 10 Poor 40 Fair
Max LVORI Early 9 6 8
Max LVORI Late 2 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability C E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Lows in
the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of precipitation
90 percent. East winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 70 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southeast winds around
15 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
63 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 80s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of showers 30 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent. North winds
around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers.
Highs around 80. Minimum RH 68 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21