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Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
582 FNUS52 KILM 211906 FWFILM Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina National Weather Service Wilmington NC 306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 .DISCUSSION... A tropical disturbance will move inland well south of the area tonight. Warmer and more humid conditions with increased rain chances are expected this weekend into next week as a more summertime pattern sets up. Afternoon heat indices will approach Heat Advisory thresholds of 105 degrees for many areas starting Sunday. Fog potential for tonight is High, especially away from the coast. NCZ105>110-221115- Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover- Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick- Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro, Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate, Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach, Southport, and Sunset Beach 306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 30 20 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 68 92 72 92 Max/Min RH (%) 100 52 100 57 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 S 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var S 9 G19 Precip Amount 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.03 Precip Duration 0 1 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 9 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 77/0800 2100 76/0700 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5300 Transport Wind (mph) S 10 SW 18 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49000 95400 ADI Early 48 Gen Good 38 Fair 56 Gen Good 78 Good ADI Late 4 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 84 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 8 Max LVORI Late 9 1 8 2 Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability F A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. West winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ NCZ096-099-221115- Bladen-Columbus- Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw 306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 30 20 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 70 93 72 94 Max/Min RH (%) 100 48 100 53 Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var S 6 Precip Amount 0.03 0.04 0.01 0.06 Precip Duration 1 1 0 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing 8 AM Precip End 9 PM Continuing 8 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0900 2100 75/0700 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 3 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5800 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 16 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 92800 ADI Early 52 Gen Good 36 Fair 63 Good 75 Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 69 Good 6 Very Poor 96 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 9 Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability F A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Light winds. $$ NCZ087-221115- Robeson- Including the city of Lumberton 306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 20 20 30 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 70 94 72 95 Max/Min RH (%) 100 45 100 49 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var S 6 S 4 Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 S 4 S 8 Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.03 Precip Duration 0 1 0 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM Continuing 8 AM Precip End 9 PM Continuing 8 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2200 75/0800 2100 76/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Fair Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 6000 Transport Wind (mph) S 10 SW 15 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 90000 ADI Early 60 Gen Good 30 Fair 68 Good 67 Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 71 Good 7 Poor 96 Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 4 8 Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability E A E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 35 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 93 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs around 100. Minimum RH 34 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ054>056-058-059-221115- Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry- Northern Horry- Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee, North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews, Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris, Green Sea, and Aynor 306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 30 20 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 3 3 Min/Max Temp 71 92 72 91 Max/Min RH (%) 100 53 100 61 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 Lgt/Var S 7 G17 Precip Amount 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.13 Precip Duration 1 1 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 10 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0900 2100 76/0700 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 3 DSI 3 2 Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4600 Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56400 64400 ADI Early 49 Gen Good 37 Fair 57 Gen Good 61 Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 61 Good 6 Very Poor 77 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 2 Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability F B E B Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent. West winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ032-033-039-221115- Florence-Marion-Williamsburg- Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree 306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 30 30 30 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 70 93 71 93 Max/Min RH (%) 100 48 100 57 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.08 Precip Duration 1 1 1 2 Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing Precip End 9 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0900 2100 75/0700 Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor Haines Index 3 3 4 3 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 5400 Transport Wind (mph) S 9 S 14 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47700 75600 ADI Early 49 Gen Good 36 Fair 61 Good 62 Good ADI Late 5 Very Poor 62 Good 6 Very Poor 76 Good Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9 Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability F A F A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 36 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ SCZ017-023-024-221115- Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon- Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville, Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon 306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy Precip Chance (%) 20 30 30 40 Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms LAL 2 2 2 3 Min/Max Temp 70 94 72 94 Max/Min RH (%) 100 45 100 51 Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01 Precip Duration 1 1 0 1 Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM Continuing 8 AM Precip End 10 PM Continuing 8 PM Continuing Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0900 2000 76/0800 Dispersion Very Poor Poor Haines Index 3 4 4 4 DSI 3 3 Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6300 Transport Wind (mph) S 10 SW 13 Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61000 81900 ADI Early 64 Good 31 Fair 60 Gen Good 61 Good ADI Late 6 Very Poor 67 Good 6 Very Poor 87 Good Max LVORI Early 5 9 4 9 Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1 Min VSBY Early 7 2 Rain 7 Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7 Turner Stability E A E A Remarks...None. .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent. Light winds. .TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 36 percent. North winds around 5 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 34 percent. Light winds. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent. South winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Light winds. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent. North winds around 5 mph. $$ .OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS... Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal. $$ SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE =================================================================== NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759 0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499 17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999 34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999 51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999 69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER SC USERS NC USERS =================================================================== FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND =================================================================== STAGNANT NEAR CALM CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH 2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH 6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH 9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH 14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS. LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index. $$ Forecaster...Bright