Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
811
FNUS52 KILM 160707
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
307 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Mainly dry weather is expected most of the next week as high
pressure remains to the north of the area.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-162315-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
307 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 91 65 90
Min/Max RH (%) 42 96 44
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 5 E 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 77/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5900
Transport Wind (mph) E 14 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 77000 94400
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 75 Good 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 91 Good 6 Very Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 6
Max LVORI Late 1 5 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
92 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 92 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-162315-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
307 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 1 1 1
Max/Min Temp 92 66 92
Min/Max RH (%) 39 96 39
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 5 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5800
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 64800 81200
ADI Early 54 Gen Good 68 Good 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 81 Good 6 Very Poor 95 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 4 7
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 43 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
45 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 44 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-162315-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
307 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 0
Precip Type None None None
LAL 2 1 1
Max/Min Temp 89 67 89
Min/Max RH (%) 52 97 46
Wind20ft/Early (mph) E 4 E 5 E 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 8 G17 Lgt/Var E 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 78/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 5800
Transport Wind (mph) E 15 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 81000 92800
ADI Early 44 Gen Good 81 Good 58 Gen Good
ADI Late 99 Good 5 Very Poor 101 Very Good
Max LVORI Early 7 5 6
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
93 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
94 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. East winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 55 percent. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-162315-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
307 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2024
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Mclear
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 0
Precip Type Tstms None None
LAL 2 2 1
Max/Min Temp 92 67 92
Min/Max RH (%) 50 98 42
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 Lgt/Var E 5
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 0
Precip Begin 2 PM
Precip End 6 PM
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2000 76/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 5700
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 E 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 66000 79800
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 77 Good 56 Gen Good
ADI Late 91 Good 5 Very Poor 92 Good
Max LVORI Early 7 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH 45 percent. East
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
44 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
47 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. East winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
East winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$