Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
604
FNUS52 KILM 291908
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
308 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid weather will continue through the weekend as
Bermuda high pressure controls our weather. Heat indices on
Sunday should peak between 105 and 109 degrees. An approaching
cold front will bring much better chances of showers and
thunderstorms late Sunday into Monday. After drier and cooler
weather Tuesday and Wednesday, the heat will start to return
Thursday with humidity soon to follow.
Fog potential for tonight is Low.
NCZ105>110-301115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
308 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 30 70 90
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 1 3 5 5
Min/Max Temp 74 95 72 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 100 73
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 4 S 7 G17 W 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 9 G18 SW 5 N 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.94
Precip Duration 1 5 11
Precip Begin 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 80/0800 2100 76/0600
Dispersion Fair Fair
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 2900
Transport Wind (mph) S 15 E 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 73500 46400
ADI Early 55 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 64 Good 27 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 64 Good 12 Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 7
Max LVORI Late 9 2 7 4
Min VSBY Early 7 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability E B D C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
96 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
54 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 97 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-301115-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
308 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 60 80 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 4 5 5
Min/Max Temp 74 97 73 84
Max/Min RH (%) 100 52 100 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 SW 4 S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 4 S 7 Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.32 0.85 0.47
Precip Duration 2 10 7
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0800 2100 75/0600
Dispersion Fair Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5800 4100
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 NE 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75400 65600
ADI Early 67 Good 50 Gen Good 53 Gen Good 34 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 71 Good 10 Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 8 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
49 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-301115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
308 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 50 60 90
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 4 4 5
Min/Max Temp 74 95 74 86
Max/Min RH (%) 100 59 99 73
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 4 S 6 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 G17 Lgt/Var NE 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.07 0.26 0.91
Precip Duration 1 5 12
Precip Begin 10 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 80/0800 2100 78/0700
Dispersion Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 2700
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 SE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 37800
ADI Early 47 Gen Good 42 Gen Good 52 Gen Good 28 Fair
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 58 Gen Good 10 Poor 38 Fair
Max LVORI Early 5 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
62 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-301115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
308 PM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024
Tonight Sun Sun Night Mon
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 70 70 80
Precip Type None Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 4 5 5
Min/Max Temp 74 96 73 85
Max/Min RH (%) 100 55 100 65
Wind20ft/Early (mph) S 5 S 4 S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var NE 6
Precip Amount 0.00 0.31 0.74 0.38
Precip Duration 2 9 11
Precip Begin 11 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0800 2100 77/0900
Dispersion Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 4300
Transport Wind (mph) SW 12 NE 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 68400 60200
ADI Early 59 Gen Good 46 Gen Good 41 Gen Good 32 Fair
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 65 Good 9 Poor 46 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 8 1 9 3
Min VSBY Early 7 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 6 Rain 6 Rain
Turner Stability E B E C
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
53 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum
RH 100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$