Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
916
FNUS52 KILM 272024
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
424 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Storms will continue into this evening with a few strong to
severe as front drops into area and stalls. Lingering front will
return north late Friday. Hot and humid conditions will continue
through the weekend. Another front late Sunday into Monday will
potentially bring moderate rainfall to the area. Unseasonably hot
temperatures will temporarily cool back to normal early next week.
Fog potential for tonight is High.
NCZ105>110-281230-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
424 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 70 50 40 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 71 91 72 92
Max/Min RH (%) 100 61 100 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var E 6 Lgt/Var S 7
Precip Amount 0.30 0.07 0.03 0.03
Precip Duration 3 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0900 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4400 4800
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 44000 67200
ADI Early 24 Fair 34 Fair 42 Gen Good 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 47 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 71 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 8 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
91 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 91 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-281230-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
424 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 50 50 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 71 94 73 94
Max/Min RH (%) 100 53 100 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.15 0.08 0.05 0.03
Precip Duration 2 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 12 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0900 2000 77/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5700 5800
Transport Wind (mph) E 10 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 57000 81200
ADI Early 21 Fair 43 Gen Good 41 Gen Good 62 Good
ADI Late 3 Very Poor 63 Good 5 Very Poor 86 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 4 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability F A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 93 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-281230-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
424 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 70 50 40 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 5 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 72 91 73 92
Max/Min RH (%) 100 61 100 62
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.25 0.05 0.02 0.05
Precip Duration 3 2 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 79/0900 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4200 5000
Transport Wind (mph) SE 10 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42000 70000
ADI Early 23 Fair 29 Fair 40 Fair 52 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 42 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 62 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 3 9 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 6 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 65 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 93 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 80s. Minimum RH 55 percent. Chance of showers 40 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
54 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 94 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-281230-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
424 PM EDT Thu Jun 27 2024
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 60 50 50 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 4 3 3 3
Min/Max Temp 70 92 73 93
Max/Min RH (%) 100 56 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.15 0.06 0.04 0.06
Precip Duration 3 2 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 1 AM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2000 78/0900 2100 77/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5500 6000
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49500 78000
ADI Early 30 Fair 40 Fair 43 Gen Good 50 Gen Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 58 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 1
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 3 Rain 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 2 Rain 6 Rain 7
Turner Stability E A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 60 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 67 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
49 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 95 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...RGZ