Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
346
FNUS52 KILM 221314
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Warmer and more humid conditions with increased rain chances are
expected this weekend with the passage of a surface boundary
enhancing the rain potential Monday. Afternoon heat indices will
approach or even exceed Heat Advisory thresholds of 105+ degrees
for many areas next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is
Favorable.
However, during this afternoon and evening,
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain becomes
Unfavorable Type 1-F...Direction S...Maximum Wind 22 mph at
900 ft.
Fog potential for tonight is Low, mainly away from the coast.
NCZ105>110-230515-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 40
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 1 3
Max/Min Temp 92 72 92
Min/Max RH (%) 55 100 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 S 5
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 6 S 4 S 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.04 0.00 0.02
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 10 AM 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 78/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 3 4 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 S 20
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 42300 100000
ADI Early 29 Fair 59 Gen Good 68 Good
ADI Late 64 Good 6 Very Poor 85 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
50 percent. North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 58 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-230515-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 2 1 3
Max/Min Temp 94 72 93
Min/Max RH (%) 48 100 55
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 2
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 77/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6200 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 74400 90000
ADI Early 34 Fair 72 Good 68 Good
ADI Late 77 Good 7 Poor 93 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 7 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. Chance of
precipitation 60 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 41 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-230515-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 2 1 3
Max/Min Temp 94 72 93
Min/Max RH (%) 45 100 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 7
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.04
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 77/0800 2100 77/0800
Dispersion Fair
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 S 17
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 69000 85000
ADI Early 35 Fair 83 Good 69 Good
ADI Late 82 Good 8 Poor 70 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 8
Max LVORI Late 1 6 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 89 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-230515-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 10 0 50
Precip Type Showers None Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 92 72 90
Min/Max RH (%) 55 100 64
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 7 Lgt/Var S 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.06
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 12 PM 6 AM
Precip End 5 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 80/0900 2100 77/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5400 4500
Transport Wind (mph) S 14 S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 75600 72000
ADI Early 45 Gen Good 62 Good 54 Gen Good
ADI Late 76 Good 6 Very Poor 67 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 7 2
Min VSBY Early 2 Rain 7 6 Rain
Min VSBY Late 7 7 6 Rain
Turner Stability B F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent. West
winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 63 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-230515-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 0 50
Precip Type Tstms None Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 93 71 92
Min/Max RH (%) 49 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 6 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.11
Precip Duration 1 2
Precip Begin 1 PM 8 AM
Precip End 6 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 76/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 4 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6400 4800
Transport Wind (mph) S 13 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 83200 67200
ADI Early 50 Gen Good 77 Good 53 Gen Good
ADI Late 87 Good 6 Very Poor 55 Gen Good
Max LVORI Early 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 0 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 40 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Light winds.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-230515-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
914 AM EDT Sat Jun 22 2024
Today Tonight Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 0 0 40
Precip Type None None Tstms
LAL 2 2 3
Max/Min Temp 94 72 93
Min/Max RH (%) 44 100 52
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) S 5 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.07
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 8 AM
Precip End Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Poor
Haines Index 4 4 4
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6900 5000
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 82800 65000
ADI Early 38 Fair 75 Good 59 Gen Good
ADI Late 85 Good 6 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 4 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Fog 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation below normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Bright