Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
582
FNUS52 KILM 211906
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A tropical disturbance will move inland well south of the area
tonight. Warmer and more humid conditions with increased rain
chances are expected this weekend into next week as a more
summertime pattern sets up. Afternoon heat indices will approach
Heat Advisory thresholds of 105 degrees for many areas starting
Sunday.
Fog potential for tonight is High, especially away from the coast.
NCZ105>110-221115-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 30 20 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 2 3
Min/Max Temp 68 92 72 92
Max/Min RH (%) 100 52 100 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 6 Lgt/Var S 9 G19
Precip Amount 0.01 0.04 0.01 0.03
Precip Duration 0 1 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 9 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 77/0800 2100 76/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4900 5300
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 SW 18
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 49000 95400
ADI Early 48 Gen Good 38 Fair 56 Gen Good 78 Good
ADI Late 4 Very Poor 60 Gen Good 6 Very Poor 84 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 8
Max LVORI Late 9 1 8 2
Min VSBY Early 7 5 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 59 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Partly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 60 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ096-099-221115-
Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Elizabethtown, Bladenboro, Whiteville,
Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 20 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 2 3
Min/Max Temp 70 93 72 94
Max/Min RH (%) 100 48 100 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.03 0.04 0.01 0.06
Precip Duration 1 1 0 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 9 PM Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0900 2100 75/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5800
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 16
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 67200 92800
ADI Early 52 Gen Good 36 Fair 63 Good 75 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 69 Good 6 Very Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 5 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 38 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 48 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Light winds.
$$
NCZ087-221115-
Robeson-
Including the city of Lumberton
306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Mclear Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 20 20 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 2 3
Min/Max Temp 70 94 72 95
Max/Min RH (%) 100 45 100 49
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var S 6 S 4
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 5 S 4 S 8
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.03
Precip Duration 0 1 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 9 PM Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2200 75/0800 2100 76/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Fair
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6300 6000
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 63000 90000
ADI Early 60 Gen Good 30 Fair 68 Good 67 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 71 Good 7 Poor 96 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 4 8
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E A E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 91 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 35 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
93 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs around 100. Minimum RH 34 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 53 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-221115-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 20 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 3 3
Min/Max Temp 71 92 72 91
Max/Min RH (%) 100 53 100 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 7 Lgt/Var S 7 G17
Precip Amount 0.01 0.02 0.01 0.13
Precip Duration 1 1 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 7 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 10 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0900 2100 76/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 3
DSI 3 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4700 4600
Transport Wind (mph) S 12 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 56400 64400
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 37 Fair 57 Gen Good 61 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 61 Good 6 Very Poor 77 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 7 6 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 5 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F B E B
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 95 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 45 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent. South
winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 61 percent.
West winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ032-033-039-221115-
Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Florence, Marion, Mullins, and Kingstree
306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 30 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 2 3
Min/Max Temp 70 93 71 93
Max/Min RH (%) 100 48 100 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var SE 5 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.08
Precip Duration 1 1 1 2
Precip Begin 6 PM 9 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End 9 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 79/0900 2100 75/0700
Dispersion Very Poor Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 4 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 5400
Transport Wind (mph) S 9 S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47700 75600
ADI Early 49 Gen Good 36 Fair 61 Good 62 Good
ADI Late 5 Very Poor 62 Good 6 Very Poor 76 Good
Max LVORI Early 6 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 3 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 4 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability F A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 47 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 92 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 37 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-221115-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, and Dillon
306 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024
Tonight Sat Sat Night Sun
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 20 30 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 2 2 2 3
Min/Max Temp 70 94 72 94
Max/Min RH (%) 100 45 100 51
Wind20ft/Early (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 5 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) Lgt/Var S 4 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.01 0.01 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 0 1
Precip Begin 6 PM 10 AM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End 10 PM Continuing 8 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 2100 78/0900 2000 76/0800
Dispersion Very Poor Poor
Haines Index 3 4 4 4
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 6100 6300
Transport Wind (mph) S 10 SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 61000 81900
ADI Early 64 Good 31 Fair 60 Gen Good 61 Good
ADI Late 6 Very Poor 67 Good 6 Very Poor 87 Good
Max LVORI Early 5 9 4 9
Max LVORI Late 9 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 7 2 Rain 7
Min VSBY Late 3 Rain 7 7
Turner Stability E A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 46 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 30 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 88 percent.
Light winds.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 36 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Sunny with a 40 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 34 percent.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
95 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 54 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...Bright