Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC
488
FNUS52 KILM 280735
FWFILM
Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
335 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A stalled front will retreat northward today, allowing hot and
humid conditions to remain through the weekend. Another front will
approach the area late Sunday into Monday with showers and
storms. Some of these storms will be capable of producing heavy
rainfall. Temperatures will temporarily cool back to normal early
next week.
Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.
Fog potential for tonight is Moderate.
NCZ105>110-282345-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
335 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 30
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 91 72 92
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 59
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var SE 4 Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 6 Lgt/Var S 6
Precip Amount 0.08 0.03 0.02
Precip Duration 1 0 1
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0800 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4500 4600
Transport Wind (mph) E 12 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 54000 59800
ADI Early 35 Fair 53 Gen Good 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 57 Gen Good 5 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 8 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 5 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 68 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 74 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. West winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
56 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 96 percent. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
NCZ087-096-099-282345-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
335 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 94 72 95
Min/Max RH (%) 48 100 53
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) E 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.13 0.07 0.02
Precip Duration 1 1 1
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 9 AM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 76/0900 2000 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 4 3 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5600 5700
Transport Wind (mph) SE 13 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 72800 74100
ADI Early 42 Gen Good 51 Gen Good 48 Gen Good
ADI Late 68 Good 5 Very Poor 79 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 4 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 61 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 66 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 40 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 94 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
48 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ054>056-058-059-282345-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
335 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 30 40
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 90 73 92
Min/Max RH (%) 57 100 61
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 5 Lgt/Var S 5
Precip Amount 0.10 0.04 0.04
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 12 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 9 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 79/0900 2100 79/0800
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 2 2
Mixing Hgt (ft) 4600 4700
Transport Wind (mph) SE 10 S 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 46000 61100
ADI Early 27 Fair 47 Gen Good 41 Gen Good
ADI Late 51 Gen Good 4 Very Poor 63 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 6 9
Max LVORI Late 2 9 2
Min VSBY Early 3 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A F A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
99 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with thunderstorms likely and a chance of
showers. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 66 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 77 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 98 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
61 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
57 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-282345-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
335 AM EDT Fri Jun 28 2024
Today Tonight Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Chance (%) 40 40 50
Precip Type Tstms Tstms Tstms
LAL 3 3 3
Max/Min Temp 93 72 93
Min/Max RH (%) 50 100 57
Wind20ft/Early (mph) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph) SE 4 Lgt/Var S 4
Precip Amount 0.12 0.06 0.04
Precip Duration 1 1 2
Precip Begin 1 PM Continuing 8 AM
Precip End Continuing 11 PM Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time) 78/0900 2100 80/0900
Dispersion Very Poor
Haines Index 3 3 3
DSI 3 3
Mixing Hgt (ft) 5300 5500
Transport Wind (mph) SE 9 S 12
Vent Rate (mph-ft) 47700 66000
ADI Early 31 Fair 42 Gen Good 42 Gen Good
ADI Late 62 Good 5 Very Poor 65 Good
Max LVORI Early 9 7 9
Max LVORI Late 1 9 1
Min VSBY Early 1 Rain 7 7
Min VSBY Late 7 7 7
Turner Stability A E A
Remarks...None.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of
showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
100 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly sunny with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 62 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Partly sunny with a 50 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 96 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH
52 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
$$
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation near normal.
$$
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE BURN CATEGORY VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
NOT USED 0 0 TO 14759
0 TO 17249 1 14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499 2 33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749 3 45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999 4 60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER 5 112000 OR GREATER
SC USERS NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND DISPERSION FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
STAGNANT NEAR CALM
CALM VERY POOR 2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH POOR 5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH FAIR 9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH GOOD GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE EXCELLENT
ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.
$$
Forecaster...21