Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE
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399 FXUS63 KLBF 201750 AFDLBF Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service North Platte NE 1250 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... *Advancing cold front Friday night into Saturday *Chance of scattered thunderstorms Saturday *Cooler temperatures Saturday and Sunday into early next week && .SHORT TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/... Issued at 345 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024 The main concern in the short term will be temperatures and precipitation chances. Highs on Saturday will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s. Coldest temperatures will be across the northwest Sandhills where the front will move across the earliest. Warmer temperatures will be across southern Nebraska where the front will pass through later in the day. As for thunderstorm chances, trends have continued to decrease PoPs with the latest forecast model runs, and less confidence in seeing any widespread rainfall, however there still remains a chance of scattered thunderstorms. Thunderstorm chances may start as early as late morning, depending on the timing of the front. As for severe weather chances, the chance for a severe storm is low. The environment will only be marginally favorable, CAPE values around 1000 J/kg or less and drier air with the advancing cold front will also hinder the development of storms. If any shower or thunderstorm does develop tomorrow, qpf values are quite low so don`t expect a wetting rain, generally less than 0.05. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... Issued at 345 AM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024 On Sunday, overnight lingering rain showers will continue into Sunday afternoon. Temperatures are expected to remain cool Sunday with cloud cover and rain showers keeping highs only in the mid to upper 50s across most of the forecast area. The cooler temperatures will be brief as the pattern shifts, an upper level ridge begins to build in from the west by early next week, progressing eastward and centered over the High Plains region by Thursday. && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z SATURDAY/... Issued at 1249 PM CDT Fri Sep 20 2024 VFR conditions will prevail across western and north central Nebraska through tonight. A cold front will cross the area late tonight and winds will switch to the north. Very gusty north to northeast winds are expected Saturday, with gusts exceeding 35 kts at times. && .LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...Gomez LONG TERM...Gomez AVIATION...Taylor