758
FXUS64 KLCH 222039
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
339 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Monday night)
Issued at 319 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Surface high pressure is centered over us, and we are seeing
temperatures in the low to mid 90s. The good news is dew points
are only in the lower 70s, so no oppressive heat today. Heat
indices are only in the upper 90s to 102 F. The radar is quiet
with no rain indicated.

High pressure will start shifting further to our east Sunday into
Monday, and with that, our surface winds will have more of an
onshore component, which will aid in raising our dew points. Higher
dew points means higher heat indices, unfortunately. We will be
approaching heat advisory criteria on Monday, primarily in central
Louisiana and east Texas.

Precipitation-wise, there is a small 20 to 30 percent chance for
thunderstorms on Sunday and Monday, with the Acadiana region the
most likely area to see the few storms.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday through next Friday)
Issued at 319 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Scattered showers and thunderstorms remain in the forecast
Tuesday through Friday, with higher chances around Lafayette
(30-50%), and lower chances near Beaumont (20%). This will be a
persistent pattern through the week.

Temperatures will run 2 to 5 degrees above normal, in the low to
mid 90s throughout the week, with the higher temperatures from
Jasper to Alexandria (95-98 F), and lower along the I-10 corridor
from Beaumont to Lake Charles and Lafayette (91-93 F).

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1225 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Aviation-wide we are seeing a ceiling in the 4500 ft range, and
that will continue through the afternoon. I have not added any
patchy fog for Sunday morning yet, that will be re-evaluated
later this afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 319 PM CDT Sat Jun 22 2024

Tides will be running above normal through this weekend thanks to
disturbed weather in the Gulf. A coastal flood advisory goes out
through Sunday, but may need to be extended into Monday. The only
coastal flooding we are expecting is in coastal fields, parks, and
roads, with only isolated road closures expected during high tide.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  72  96  74  97 /   0   0   0  10
LCH  75  93  76  93 /   0  10   0  20
LFT  75  95  77  95 /   0  20   0  30
BPT  76  95  77  95 /   0  10   0  20

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM CDT Sunday for LAZ073-074-
     252>254.

TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 6 PM CDT Sunday for TXZ615.

GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...15
LONG TERM....15
AVIATION...15