737
FXUS64 KLCH 180836
AFDLCH

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
336 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, MARINE...

.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Friday night)
Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

As has been the case over the last few mornings, areas of
generally light ground fog has again developed across the region.
This should dissipate no later than 14Z. Broad high pressure over
much of the central and eastern Gulf of Mexico combined with upper
level ridging building in from south Texas will keep skies
generally clear. While the NBM keeps the entire area completely
dry, several deterministic model runs do indicate some isolated
convection developing along the Atchafalaya basin so opted to
include 20 PoPs to account. The lack of cloud cover and precip
will allow temperatures to climb into the the lower 90s this
afternoon. The overall pattern isn`t progged to change much
through the end of the week with near identical conditions
expected both Thursday and Friday.

Jones

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Wednesday)
Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

The weekend is expected to remain hot and dry. A ridge aloft will
slide east out of Northern Mexico and Texas and overhead deep SE TX
and LA by Sunday afternoon. Temperatures are anticipated to run
2 to 5 degrees above climo norms for the date.

Early to mid week the ridge will continue east across the northern
gulf coast as a short wave digs into the plains. As the ridge
departs the local area, a very modest increase in rain chances may
occur. Extra cloud cover and afternoon convection may allow
afternoon temperatures to decrease a couple degrees.

05

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1154 PM CDT Tue Sep 17 2024

VFR conditions with light and variable winds expected to prevail
for most of the forecast period. Fog is possible overnight and
whatever develops will burn off shortly after sunrise. Late
tomorrow morning and afternoon, there is a chance of showers
however confidence in location and timing is low, hence the
exclusion of RA in the TAFs.
Stigger/87

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 326 AM CDT Wed Sep 18 2024

High pressure will build into the region today. This ridge will
bring about a prolonged period of warm, dry conditions with light
winds and low seas.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  89  70  90  68 /  10   0   0   0
LCH  89  75  90  73 /  20  10  10   0
LFT  91  75  92  73 /  20  20  10   0
BPT  92  75  93  74 /  20  10   0   0

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...66
LONG TERM....05
AVIATION...66